Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the 2026 Maranhão Senate race for first place, driven by her established name recognition, prior service as governor and senator, and consistent leads in recent August polls showing her ahead with 23-35% support in stimulated or potential-vote scenarios. Her pre-candidacy confirmation in late July and formal registration by the August 15 deadline reinforced trader expectations of her frontrunner status ahead of the October election. The market's implied probability for her reflects this polling edge and the Sarney family's long-standing regional influence, while the remaining field—including Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and Eliziane Gama—remains fragmented in the contest for the second seat, with no single challenger closing the gap in available surveys. Upcoming campaign events and final poll releases before voting could still shift relative standings among lower-probability options.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMaranhão Senate Election: 1st Place
Maranhão Senate Election: 1st Place
Roseana Sarney 73%
Weverton Rocha 8.7%
Eliziane Gama 5%
Wilson Leite 4.5%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
73%
Weverton Rocha
9%
Eliziane Gama
5%
Wilson Leite
5%
Enilton Rodrigues
4%
Raimundo Moreira
3%
Cidônio Gonçalves
3%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
3%
Fufuca
3%
Simplício Araújo
2%
Lahesio Bonfim
2%
Roseana Sarney 73%
Weverton Rocha 8.7%
Eliziane Gama 5%
Wilson Leite 4.5%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$2,274 Vol.
73%
Weverton Rocha
$134 Vol.
9%
Eliziane Gama
$216 Vol.
5%
Wilson Leite
$214 Vol.
5%
Enilton Rodrigues
$112 Vol.
4%
Raimundo Moreira
$213 Vol.
3%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$197 Vol.
3%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$213 Vol.
3%
Fufuca
$128 Vol.
3%
Simplício Araújo
$192 Vol.
2%
Lahesio Bonfim
$199 Vol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the 2026 Maranhão Senate race for first place, driven by her established name recognition, prior service as governor and senator, and consistent leads in recent August polls showing her ahead with 23-35% support in stimulated or potential-vote scenarios. Her pre-candidacy confirmation in late July and formal registration by the August 15 deadline reinforced trader expectations of her frontrunner status ahead of the October election. The market's implied probability for her reflects this polling edge and the Sarney family's long-standing regional influence, while the remaining field—including Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and Eliziane Gama—remains fragmented in the contest for the second seat, with no single challenger closing the gap in available surveys. Upcoming campaign events and final poll releases before voting could still shift relative standings among lower-probability options.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$4,092Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the 2026 Maranhão Senate race for first place, driven by her established name recognition, prior service as governor and senator, and consistent leads in recent August polls showing her ahead with 23-35% support in stimulated or potential-vote scenarios. Her pre-candidacy confirmation in late July and formal registration by the August 15 deadline reinforced trader expectations of her frontrunner status ahead of the October election. The market's implied probability for her reflects this polling edge and the Sarney family's long-standing regional influence, while the remaining field—including Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and Eliziane Gama—remains fragmented in the contest for the second seat, with no single challenger closing the gap in available surveys. Upcoming campaign events and final poll releases before voting could still shift relative standings among lower-probability options.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,092Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) holds the strongest position in the 2026 Maranhão Senate race for first place, driven by her established name recognition, prior service as governor and senator, and consistent leads in recent August polls showing her ahead with 23-35% support in stimulated or potential-vote scenarios. Her pre-candidacy confirmation in late July and formal registration by the August 15 deadline reinforced trader expectations of her frontrunner status ahead of the October election. The market's implied probability for her reflects this polling edge and the Sarney family's long-standing regional influence, while the remaining field—including Weverton Rocha, Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and Eliziane Gama—remains fragmented in the contest for the second seat, with no single challenger closing the gap in available surveys. Upcoming campaign events and final poll releases before voting could still shift relative standings among lower-probability options.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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