The race for first place in Santa Catarina's October 2026 Senate election centers on the PL party's dual candidacy of Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, whose combined polling leads reflect strong right-leaning voter consolidation in the state. Recent surveys from July 2026 show the two trading narrow advantages in first- and second-vote intentions, with Carlos often ahead on initial preference but facing resistance as an outsider who relocated from Rio de Janeiro. This dynamic, amplified by party convention launches in August and lingering internal divisions over the "Bolsonaro" brand's reach in Santa Catarina, keeps the contest tight. Developments that could separate them include further local endorsements, shifts in rejection numbers, or turnout patterns among PL voters favoring one profile over the other in the final weeks. Lower-polling names such as Esperidião Amin and Décio Lima remain distant unless major realignments occur.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiSanta Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place
Carlos Bolsonaro 57%
Carol de Toni 39%
Décio Lima 2.4%
Joaninha de Oliveira 2.0%

Carlos Bolsonaro
57%

Carol de Toni
39%

Décio Lima
2%

Joaninha de Oliveira
2%

Afrânio Boppré
2%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
2%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
2%

Carol
2%

Marlene Soccas
1%

Esperidião Amin
1%

Marcos Dorval
1%

Jeferson da Rocha
<1%

Lunelli
<1%
Carlos Bolsonaro 57%
Carol de Toni 39%
Décio Lima 2.4%
Joaninha de Oliveira 2.0%

Carlos Bolsonaro
57%

Carol de Toni
39%

Décio Lima
2%

Joaninha de Oliveira
2%

Afrânio Boppré
2%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
2%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
2%

Carol
2%

Marlene Soccas
1%

Esperidião Amin
1%

Marcos Dorval
1%

Jeferson da Rocha
<1%

Lunelli
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The race for first place in Santa Catarina's October 2026 Senate election centers on the PL party's dual candidacy of Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, whose combined polling leads reflect strong right-leaning voter consolidation in the state. Recent surveys from July 2026 show the two trading narrow advantages in first- and second-vote intentions, with Carlos often ahead on initial preference but facing resistance as an outsider who relocated from Rio de Janeiro. This dynamic, amplified by party convention launches in August and lingering internal divisions over the "Bolsonaro" brand's reach in Santa Catarina, keeps the contest tight. Developments that could separate them include further local endorsements, shifts in rejection numbers, or turnout patterns among PL voters favoring one profile over the other in the final weeks. Lower-polling names such as Esperidião Amin and Décio Lima remain distant unless major realignments occur.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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