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icon for Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place

Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place

Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place

Carlos Bolsonaro 57%

Carol de Toni 39%

Décio Lima 2.4%

Joaninha de Oliveira 2.0%

Polymarket
BARU

Carlos Bolsonaro 57%

Carol de Toni 39%

Décio Lima 2.4%

Joaninha de Oliveira 2.0%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Carlos Bolsonaro

Carlos Bolsonaro

$659 Vol.

57%

icon for Carol de Toni

Carol de Toni

$1,205 Vol.

39%

icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$142 Vol.

2%

icon for Joaninha de Oliveira

Joaninha de Oliveira

$172 Vol.

2%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$142 Vol.

2%

icon for Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

$126 Vol.

2%

icon for Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

$447 Vol.

2%

icon for Carol

Carol

$126 Vol.

2%

icon for Marlene Soccas

Marlene Soccas

$215 Vol.

1%

icon for Esperidião Amin

Esperidião Amin

$126 Vol.

1%

icon for Marcos Dorval

Marcos Dorval

$94 Vol.

1%

icon for Jeferson da Rocha

Jeferson da Rocha

$126 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lunelli

Lunelli

$201 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for first place in Santa Catarina's October 2026 Senate election centers on the PL party's dual candidacy of Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, whose combined polling leads reflect strong right-leaning voter consolidation in the state. Recent surveys from July 2026 show the two trading narrow advantages in first- and second-vote intentions, with Carlos often ahead on initial preference but facing resistance as an outsider who relocated from Rio de Janeiro. This dynamic, amplified by party convention launches in August and lingering internal divisions over the "Bolsonaro" brand's reach in Santa Catarina, keeps the contest tight. Developments that could separate them include further local endorsements, shifts in rejection numbers, or turnout patterns among PL voters favoring one profile over the other in the final weeks. Lower-polling names such as Esperidião Amin and Décio Lima remain distant unless major realignments occur.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,784
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for first place in Santa Catarina's October 2026 Senate election centers on the PL party's dual candidacy of Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni, whose combined polling leads reflect strong right-leaning voter consolidation in the state. Recent surveys from July 2026 show the two trading narrow advantages in first- and second-vote intentions, with Carlos often ahead on initial preference but facing resistance as an outsider who relocated from Rio de Janeiro. This dynamic, amplified by party convention launches in August and lingering internal divisions over the "Bolsonaro" brand's reach in Santa Catarina, keeps the contest tight. Developments that could separate them include further local endorsements, shifts in rejection numbers, or turnout patterns among PL voters favoring one profile over the other in the final weeks. Lower-polling names such as Esperidião Amin and Décio Lima remain distant unless major realignments occur.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,784
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Carlos Bolsonaro" di 57%, diikuti oleh "Carol de Toni" di 39%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 57¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 57% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah "Carlos Bolsonaro" di 57%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 57% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Carol de Toni" di 39%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.