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Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson 77%

Cadu de Lula 15%

Álvaro Dias 10%

Professor Roberio Paulino 2.0%

Polymarket
BARU

Allyson 77%

Cadu de Lula 15%

Álvaro Dias 10%

Professor Roberio Paulino 2.0%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Allyson

Allyson

$1,542 Vol.

77%

icon for Cadu de Lula

Cadu de Lula

$382 Vol.

15%

icon for Álvaro Dias

Álvaro Dias

$219 Vol.

10%

icon for Professor Roberio Paulino

Professor Roberio Paulino

$251 Vol.

2%

icon for Rodrigo Bolsonaro

Rodrigo Bolsonaro

$261 Vol.

1%

icon for Henrique Lyra

Henrique Lyra

$262 Vol.

1%

icon for Carlos Jararaca

Carlos Jararaca

$240 Vol.

1%

icon for Arinalda do MLB

Arinalda do MLB

$237 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dário Barbosa

Dário Barbosa

$229 Vol.

<1%

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra leads the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting her July 2026 convention launch by União Brasil with a wide center-right coalition that includes MDB support and Hermano Morais as running mate. The former Mossoró mayor benefits from term limits barring incumbent Fátima Bezerra (PT) from seeking re-election, positioning Allyson as the main alternative to the PT-led state government. Cadu Xavier, the PT finance secretary backed as the continuity candidate, trails at 15%, while Álvaro Dias sits at 9.5% amid shifts in right-leaning alignments. Earlier 2026 polling showed Allyson ahead, and the broad coalition formation has reinforced trader consensus on her frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,621
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra leads the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race at 76.5% implied probability, reflecting her July 2026 convention launch by União Brasil with a wide center-right coalition that includes MDB support and Hermano Morais as running mate. The former Mossoró mayor benefits from term limits barring incumbent Fátima Bezerra (PT) from seeking re-election, positioning Allyson as the main alternative to the PT-led state government. Cadu Xavier, the PT finance secretary backed as the continuity candidate, trails at 15%, while Álvaro Dias sits at 9.5% amid shifts in right-leaning alignments. Earlier 2026 polling showed Allyson ahead, and the broad coalition formation has reinforced trader consensus on her frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first-round vote.

The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$3,621
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Allyson" di 77%, diikuti oleh "Cadu de Lula" di 15%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 77¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 77% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" adalah "Allyson" di 77%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 77% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Cadu de Lula" di 15%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.