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Pemilihan Umum·Brasil

Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place
Pemilihan Umum·Brasil

Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place

Renato Casagrande 87%

Leonardo Monjardim 4.8%

Fabiano Contarato 4.5%

Evair de Melo 4.3%

Polymarket
BARU

Renato Casagrande 87%

Leonardo Monjardim 4.8%

Fabiano Contarato 4.5%

Evair de Melo 4.3%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Renato Casagrande

Renato Casagrande

$3,545 Vol.

87%

icon for Leonardo Monjardim

Leonardo Monjardim

$56 Vol.

5%

icon for Fabiano Contarato

Fabiano Contarato

$72 Vol.

4%

icon for Evair de Melo

Evair de Melo

$56 Vol.

4%

icon for Sergio Meneguelli

Sergio Meneguelli

$76 Vol.

4%

icon for Callegari

Callegari

$63 Vol.

4%

icon for Maguinha Malta

Maguinha Malta

$75 Vol.

3%

icon for Rose de Freitas

Rose de Freitas

$56 Vol.

3%

icon for Rodney Miranda

Rodney Miranda

$74 Vol.

3%

icon for Professor Fabian

Professor Fabian

$72 Vol.

3%

icon for Marcos do Val

Marcos do Val

$75 Vol.

3%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB) holds a dominant position in trader assessments for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads of 24-32% in July 2026 surveys that place him well ahead of challengers. The former governor, who resigned in April 2026 to pursue the Senate seat, benefits from high statewide name recognition and prior executive experience amid an election scheduled for October 4. Incumbent senators Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Podemos) face re-election bids alongside other contenders including Rose de Freitas (MDB), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD). Recent data shows the second-place contest remains fragmented, with no single rival closing the gap in tested scenarios. Market pricing aligns with this polling trajectory, reflecting the structural advantages of an established statewide figure in a contest for one of two seats.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,221
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB) holds a dominant position in trader assessments for first place in the Espírito Santo Senate race, driven by consistent polling leads of 24-32% in July 2026 surveys that place him well ahead of challengers. The former governor, who resigned in April 2026 to pursue the Senate seat, benefits from high statewide name recognition and prior executive experience amid an election scheduled for October 4. Incumbent senators Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Podemos) face re-election bids alongside other contenders including Rose de Freitas (MDB), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), Maguinha Malta (PL), and Sérgio Meneguelli (PSD). Recent data shows the second-place contest remains fragmented, with no single rival closing the gap in tested scenarios. Market pricing aligns with this polling trajectory, reflecting the structural advantages of an established statewide figure in a contest for one of two seats.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$4,221
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Terkait

icon for Will Evair de Melo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?

Will Evair de Melo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?

45%
icon for Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

21%
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Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Renato Casagrande" di 87%, diikuti oleh "Leonardo Monjardim" di 5%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 87¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 87% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah "Renato Casagrande" di 87%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 87% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Leonardo Monjardim" di 5%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.