Recent model consensus from sources like Open-Meteo and national forecasts shows Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 21 likely near 9–11°C amid a passing cold front with westerly flow and 60–85% rain probability. This positions trader sentiment near the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher buckets because ensemble spreads still allow for faster cooling if the front arrives earlier or slower moderation if cloud cover lingers. Key differentiators include the precise timing of the low relative to the frontal passage, local urban heat retention versus rural stations, and any overnight clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings below 8°C or keep them above 12°C. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and ECMWF are expected within 24 hours to narrow the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 21?
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 96%
9°C 40%
7°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
6°C or below
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
40%
10°C
27%
11°C
30%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
96%
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 96%
9°C 40%
7°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
100%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Open-Meteo and national forecasts shows Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 21 likely near 9–11°C amid a passing cold front with westerly flow and 60–85% rain probability. This positions trader sentiment near the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher buckets because ensemble spreads still allow for faster cooling if the front arrives earlier or slower moderation if cloud cover lingers. Key differentiators include the precise timing of the low relative to the frontal passage, local urban heat retention versus rural stations, and any overnight clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings below 8°C or keep them above 12°C. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and ECMWF are expected within 24 hours to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Open-Meteo and national forecasts shows Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 21 likely near 9–11°C amid a passing cold front with westerly flow and 60–85% rain probability. This positions trader sentiment near the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher buckets because ensemble spreads still allow for faster cooling if the front arrives earlier or slower moderation if cloud cover lingers. Key differentiators include the precise timing of the low relative to the frontal passage, local urban heat retention versus rural stations, and any overnight clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings below 8°C or keep them above 12°C. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and ECMWF are expected within 24 hours to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like Open-Meteo and national forecasts shows Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 21 likely near 9–11°C amid a passing cold front with westerly flow and 60–85% rain probability. This positions trader sentiment near the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher buckets because ensemble spreads still allow for faster cooling if the front arrives earlier or slower moderation if cloud cover lingers. Key differentiators include the precise timing of the low relative to the frontal passage, local urban heat retention versus rural stations, and any overnight clear-sky radiational cooling that could push readings below 8°C or keep them above 12°C. Updated runs from the National Weather Service equivalents and ECMWF are expected within 24 hours to narrow the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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