Current numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources project a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Incheon on September 20 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure with dew points near 16–17°C. This consensus, showing stable overnight radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or frontal activity, underpins the market-implied probabilities favoring 19°C (48%) and 18°C (33.5%). Recent 48-hour forecast updates have held steady with no major model divergence or incoming weather systems, though minor revisions in boundary-layer mixing could still shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 18°C, aligning trader sentiment with observed late-summer patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 20?
19°C 45%
18°C 32%
20°C 19%
17°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
10%
17°C
11%
18°C
32%
19°C
45%
20°C
22%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
4%
19°C 45%
18°C 32%
20°C 19%
17°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 20, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
7%
16°C
$0 Vol.
10%
17°C
$180 Vol.
11%
18°C
$423 Vol.
32%
19°C
$239 Vol.
45%
20°C
$89 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources project a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Incheon on September 20 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure with dew points near 16–17°C. This consensus, showing stable overnight radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or frontal activity, underpins the market-implied probabilities favoring 19°C (48%) and 18°C (33.5%). Recent 48-hour forecast updates have held steady with no major model divergence or incoming weather systems, though minor revisions in boundary-layer mixing could still shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 18°C, aligning trader sentiment with observed late-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$931Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources project a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Incheon on September 20 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure with dew points near 16–17°C. This consensus, showing stable overnight radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or frontal activity, underpins the market-implied probabilities favoring 19°C (48%) and 18°C (33.5%). Recent 48-hour forecast updates have held steady with no major model divergence or incoming weather systems, though minor revisions in boundary-layer mixing could still shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 18°C, aligning trader sentiment with observed late-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$931Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources project a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in Incheon on September 20 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure with dew points near 16–17°C. This consensus, showing stable overnight radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or frontal activity, underpins the market-implied probabilities favoring 19°C (48%) and 18°C (33.5%). Recent 48-hour forecast updates have held steady with no major model divergence or incoming weather systems, though minor revisions in boundary-layer mixing could still shift the exact low by 1°C. Historical September minima in the region average near 18°C, aligning trader sentiment with observed late-summer patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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