**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–20°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and high pressure.** This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling, with dew points near 16–18°C preventing sharper drops while daytime heating reaches 27–28°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–20°C (combined >80%), reflecting model consensus on stable autumn conditions typical for mid-September in the region, where historical minima average near 18–19°C without strong frontal systems or cloud cover to alter the profile. Recent runs show minimal spread, with no incoming disturbances expected to shift steering patterns or add moisture before the overnight period. Upcoming official updates from KMA and refined model outputs will likely anchor probabilities further, as traders weigh any last adjustments in wind or humidity against the current dry, settled regime.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 19?
20°C 49%
19°C 32%
21°C 19%
18°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
32%
20°C
49%
21°C
19%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 49%
19°C 32%
21°C 19%
18°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
14°C or below
$51 Vol.
1%
15°C
$51 Vol.
1%
16°C
$363 Vol.
1%
17°C
$388 Vol.
3%
18°C
$487 Vol.
5%
19°C
$3,229 Vol.
32%
20°C
$2,018 Vol.
49%
21°C
$523 Vol.
19%
22°C
$142 Vol.
2%
23°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$51 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–20°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and high pressure.** This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling, with dew points near 16–18°C preventing sharper drops while daytime heating reaches 27–28°C.
Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–20°C (combined >80%), reflecting model consensus on stable autumn conditions typical for mid-September in the region, where historical minima average near 18–19°C without strong frontal systems or cloud cover to alter the profile. Recent runs show minimal spread, with no incoming disturbances expected to shift steering patterns or add moisture before the overnight period.
Upcoming official updates from KMA and refined model outputs will likely anchor probabilities further, as traders weigh any last adjustments in wind or humidity against the current dry, settled regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$8,095Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–20°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and high pressure.** This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling, with dew points near 16–18°C preventing sharper drops while daytime heating reaches 27–28°C.
Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–20°C (combined >80%), reflecting model consensus on stable autumn conditions typical for mid-September in the region, where historical minima average near 18–19°C without strong frontal systems or cloud cover to alter the profile. Recent runs show minimal spread, with no incoming disturbances expected to shift steering patterns or add moisture before the overnight period.
Upcoming official updates from KMA and refined model outputs will likely anchor probabilities further, as traders weigh any last adjustments in wind or humidity against the current dry, settled regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,095Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–20°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 19, 2026, under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and high pressure.** This setup favors moderate overnight radiative cooling, with dew points near 16–18°C preventing sharper drops while daytime heating reaches 27–28°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 19–20°C (combined >80%), reflecting model consensus on stable autumn conditions typical for mid-September in the region, where historical minima average near 18–19°C without strong frontal systems or cloud cover to alter the profile. Recent runs show minimal spread, with no incoming disturbances expected to shift steering patterns or add moisture before the overnight period. Upcoming official updates from KMA and refined model outputs will likely anchor probabilities further, as traders weigh any last adjustments in wind or humidity against the current dry, settled regime.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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