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icon for John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
Politik·Ciara

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

icon for John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
Politik·Ciara

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

9% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
9% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe has served as CIA Director since his January 2025 Senate confirmation and remains actively engaged in administration priorities as of mid-September 2026. Recent developments include his late-August trip to Moscow for intelligence discussions on Ukraine and related matters, followed by public statements from President Trump praising his involvement in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy. Earlier shifts in the Director of National Intelligence role further elevated Ratcliffe’s influence within the intelligence community. No official announcements, congressional actions, or credible reports indicate plans for his departure. These factors underpin trader consensus that he will remain in the position through December 31, with the market pricing in continuity absent major unforeseen developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,482
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe has served as CIA Director since his January 2025 Senate confirmation and remains actively engaged in administration priorities as of mid-September 2026. Recent developments include his late-August trip to Moscow for intelligence discussions on Ukraine and related matters, followed by public statements from President Trump praising his involvement in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy. Earlier shifts in the Director of National Intelligence role further elevated Ratcliffe’s influence within the intelligence community. No official announcements, congressional actions, or credible reports indicate plans for his departure. These factors underpin trader consensus that he will remain in the position through December 31, with the market pricing in continuity absent major unforeseen developments.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,482
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 9% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 9¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 9% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 29, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?" adalah 9% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 9% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.