Weather forecast models indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C for Zhengzhou on August 13, shaped by regional cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime insolation that curb surface heating. This consensus underpins the market’s 48% implied probability for 25°C and 24.5% for 24°C, reflecting traders’ aggregation of ensemble outputs that factor in boundary-layer moisture and modest temperature anomalies relative to August climatology. Recent surface observations show a cooling shift from mid-week highs, while the next model cycles and official updates from monitoring agencies will further constrain the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 13?
25°C 48%
24°C 25%
23°C 11%
22°C or below 9%
22°C or below
9%
23°C
11%
24°C
25%
25°C
48%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
25°C 48%
24°C 25%
23°C 11%
22°C or below 9%
22°C or below
9%
23°C
11%
24°C
25%
25°C
48%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather forecast models indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C for Zhengzhou on August 13, shaped by regional cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and limited daytime insolation that curb surface heating. This consensus underpins the market’s 48% implied probability for 25°C and 24.5% for 24°C, reflecting traders’ aggregation of ensemble outputs that factor in boundary-layer moisture and modest temperature anomalies relative to August climatology. Recent surface observations show a cooling shift from mid-week highs, while the next model cycles and official updates from monitoring agencies will further constrain the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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