Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for London on August 14 amid an ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors limited radiative cooling overnight, potentially elevating the daily low into the upper teens to low 20s depending on cloud cover, wind speed, and urban heat retention. Ensemble model spreads and slight variations in timing of any incoming Atlantic moisture create the tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between heat advection and typical August nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 14?
22°C 39%
23°C 27%
21°C 25%
20°C 12%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
12%
21°C
25%
22°C
39%
23°C
27%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 39%
23°C 27%
21°C 25%
20°C 12%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
12%
21°C
25%
22°C
39%
23°C
27%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C for London on August 14 amid an ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors limited radiative cooling overnight, potentially elevating the daily low into the upper teens to low 20s depending on cloud cover, wind speed, and urban heat retention. Ensemble model spreads and slight variations in timing of any incoming Atlantic moisture create the tight clustering around 21–23°C outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between heat advection and typical August nocturnal drops. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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