Current numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 36–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 60% and 30% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon circulation, combined with the city's basin topography that limits ventilation and enhances heat retention, supports these values against an August climatological average high near 33–35°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover suppressing the peak, while recent observations from nearby stations confirm ongoing warm advection without extreme heat-wave intensification. Traders weigh these model consensus signals heavily, noting that any late-day revision in boundary-layer conditions could shift resolution between the two dominant bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 12?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 12?
36°C 50%
37°C 37%
38°C 9%
40°C <1%
$54,790 Vol.
$54,790 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
50%
37°C
37%
38°C
9%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 50%
37°C 37%
38°C 9%
40°C <1%
$54,790 Vol.
$54,790 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
$3,056 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,335 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,958 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$9,959 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$5,461 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$6,462 Vol.
50%
37°C
$7,404 Vol.
37%
38°C
$4,866 Vol.
9%
39°C
$5,213 Vol.
1%
40°C
$1,698 Vol.
1%
41°C or higher
$5,379 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 36–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 60% and 30% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon circulation, combined with the city's basin topography that limits ventilation and enhances heat retention, supports these values against an August climatological average high near 33–35°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover suppressing the peak, while recent observations from nearby stations confirm ongoing warm advection without extreme heat-wave intensification. Traders weigh these model consensus signals heavily, noting that any late-day revision in boundary-layer conditions could shift resolution between the two dominant bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$54,790Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 36–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 60% and 30% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon circulation, combined with the city's basin topography that limits ventilation and enhances heat retention, supports these values against an August climatological average high near 33–35°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover suppressing the peak, while recent observations from nearby stations confirm ongoing warm advection without extreme heat-wave intensification. Traders weigh these model consensus signals heavily, noting that any late-day revision in boundary-layer conditions could shift resolution between the two dominant bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54,790Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration project a daytime maximum of 36–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 60% and 30% implied probability. Subtropical monsoon circulation, combined with the city's basin topography that limits ventilation and enhances heat retention, supports these values against an August climatological average high near 33–35°C. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover suppressing the peak, while recent observations from nearby stations confirm ongoing warm advection without extreme heat-wave intensification. Traders weigh these model consensus signals heavily, noting that any late-day revision in boundary-layer conditions could shift resolution between the two dominant bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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