Short-term forecast models for Shenzhen point to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which typically cap daytime maxima by limiting solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32°C, with occasional spikes above 35°C during periods of weak steering flow and high humidity that suppress mixing. Differentiation among 34–36°C outcomes hinges on the timing and coverage of convection: clearer mornings or delayed showers favor the upper end, while earlier or more widespread rain lowers readings. Recent model runs show modest spread, leaving traders to weigh ensemble guidance against local urban heat-island effects as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 12?
35°C 32%
34°C 30%
36°C 21%
33°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
30%
35°C
32%
36°C
21%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 32%
34°C 30%
36°C 21%
33°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
$448 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$448 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$336 Vol.
2%
32°C
$366 Vol.
4%
33°C
$387 Vol.
11%
34°C
$287 Vol.
30%
35°C
$5,934 Vol.
32%
36°C
$772 Vol.
21%
37°C
$332 Vol.
5%
38°C or higher
$304 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models for Shenzhen point to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which typically cap daytime maxima by limiting solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32°C, with occasional spikes above 35°C during periods of weak steering flow and high humidity that suppress mixing. Differentiation among 34–36°C outcomes hinges on the timing and coverage of convection: clearer mornings or delayed showers favor the upper end, while earlier or more widespread rain lowers readings. Recent model runs show modest spread, leaving traders to weigh ensemble guidance against local urban heat-island effects as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$9,841Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models for Shenzhen point to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which typically cap daytime maxima by limiting solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32°C, with occasional spikes above 35°C during periods of weak steering flow and high humidity that suppress mixing. Differentiation among 34–36°C outcomes hinges on the timing and coverage of convection: clearer mornings or delayed showers favor the upper end, while earlier or more widespread rain lowers readings. Recent model runs show modest spread, leaving traders to weigh ensemble guidance against local urban heat-island effects as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,841Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models for Shenzhen point to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius on August 12 under partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, which typically cap daytime maxima by limiting solar insolation. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 32°C, with occasional spikes above 35°C during periods of weak steering flow and high humidity that suppress mixing. Differentiation among 34–36°C outcomes hinges on the timing and coverage of convection: clearer mornings or delayed showers favor the upper end, while earlier or more widespread rain lowers readings. Recent model runs show modest spread, leaving traders to weigh ensemble guidance against local urban heat-island effects as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan