**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 10 centers on 32°C (35.5%) and 33°C (31.0%), reflecting ensemble model consensus for a peak near those values amid lingering warm conditions across western Europe.** Short-range guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) indicates a stable high-pressure ridge supporting mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong daytime insolation, with surface temperatures likely peaking in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius at official stations such as Paris-Le Bourget or Montsouris. Recent model runs show only modest spread, driven by small uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise position of a weak Atlantic front that could clip maximum readings by a degree or two. Historical August climatology for Paris places normal highs near 25–27°C, so current anomalies of +5–7°C align with the broader European heat pattern observed earlier in the summer. The tight clustering between 32°C and 33°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at the 1–2°C level typical 48 hours out, where urban heat-island effects and micro-scale variations in station siting can also influence the official daily maximum. Updated model cycles and Météo-France vigilance briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data points likely to shift probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 10?
32°C 36%
33°C 31%
31°C 13%
34°C 12%
30°C or below
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
36%
33°C
31%
34°C
12%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
33°C 31%
31°C 13%
34°C 12%
30°C or below
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
36%
33°C
31%
34°C
12%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 10 centers on 32°C (35.5%) and 33°C (31.0%), reflecting ensemble model consensus for a peak near those values amid lingering warm conditions across western Europe.** Short-range guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) indicates a stable high-pressure ridge supporting mostly clear skies, light southerly flow, and strong daytime insolation, with surface temperatures likely peaking in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius at official stations such as Paris-Le Bourget or Montsouris. Recent model runs show only modest spread, driven by small uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise position of a weak Atlantic front that could clip maximum readings by a degree or two. Historical August climatology for Paris places normal highs near 25–27°C, so current anomalies of +5–7°C align with the broader European heat pattern observed earlier in the summer. The tight clustering between 32°C and 33°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at the 1–2°C level typical 48 hours out, where urban heat-island effects and micro-scale variations in station siting can also influence the official daily maximum. Updated model cycles and Météo-France vigilance briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key upcoming data points likely to shift probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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