Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a Saturday high near 86°F under a Bermuda High pattern, with heat advisory conditions persisting and scattered afternoon thunderstorms possible. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow strength, which could shift the peak by a few degrees. Historical August baselines average 83°F at Central Park, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but below the market's favored 90–93°F range. Traders appear focused on potential model runs favoring warmer outcomes if subsidence strengthens or convection remains limited, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum reported by NWS. Updated model guidance and evening forecast discussions represent the next key catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 8?
90-91°F 41%
92-93°F 32%
88-89°F 23%
86-87°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 41%
92-93°F 32%
88-89°F 23%
86-87°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
81°F or below
$359 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$276 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$300 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$383 Vol.
4%
88-89°F
$2,937 Vol.
23%
90-91°F
$939 Vol.
41%
92-93°F
$1,038 Vol.
32%
94-95°F
$438 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$206 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$274 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$362 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a Saturday high near 86°F under a Bermuda High pattern, with heat advisory conditions persisting and scattered afternoon thunderstorms possible. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow strength, which could shift the peak by a few degrees. Historical August baselines average 83°F at Central Park, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but below the market's favored 90–93°F range. Traders appear focused on potential model runs favoring warmer outcomes if subsidence strengthens or convection remains limited, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum reported by NWS. Updated model guidance and evening forecast discussions represent the next key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$7,511Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a Saturday high near 86°F under a Bermuda High pattern, with heat advisory conditions persisting and scattered afternoon thunderstorms possible. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow strength, which could shift the peak by a few degrees. Historical August baselines average 83°F at Central Park, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but below the market's favored 90–93°F range. Traders appear focused on potential model runs favoring warmer outcomes if subsidence strengthens or convection remains limited, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum reported by NWS. Updated model guidance and evening forecast discussions represent the next key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,511Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a Saturday high near 86°F under a Bermuda High pattern, with heat advisory conditions persisting and scattered afternoon thunderstorms possible. Model consensus shows modest variability tied to cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flow strength, which could shift the peak by a few degrees. Historical August baselines average 83°F at Central Park, so current guidance sits slightly above normal but below the market's favored 90–93°F range. Traders appear focused on potential model runs favoring warmer outcomes if subsidence strengthens or convection remains limited, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum reported by NWS. Updated model guidance and evening forecast discussions represent the next key catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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