Recent forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 7 will likely peak between 37°C and 39°C under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of midsummer. Ensemble models show modest variability in daytime heating driven by clear skies, low humidity around 20-30%, and light winds that limit mixing, with the precise outcome hinging on whether a subtle warm advection or slight cloud cover develops overnight. Historical August baselines for the city center average near 33°C, but current anomalies have lifted expectations toward the upper end of the distribution. Traders price the 38°C and 39°C outcomes nearly even because small revisions in the final model runs or official observations from AEMET stations could easily shift the recorded high across that narrow threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 7?
39°C 50%
38°C 46%
37°C 6%
40°C 3%
BARU
$14,167 Vol.
BARU
$14,167 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
6%
38°C
46%
39°C
50%
40°C
3%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 50%
38°C 46%
37°C 6%
40°C 3%
BARU
$14,167 Vol.
BARU
$14,167 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
35°C or below
$651 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$544 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,465 Vol.
6%
38°C
$3,709 Vol.
46%
39°C
$3,719 Vol.
50%
40°C
$888 Vol.
3%
41°C
$661 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$397 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 7 will likely peak between 37°C and 39°C under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of midsummer. Ensemble models show modest variability in daytime heating driven by clear skies, low humidity around 20-30%, and light winds that limit mixing, with the precise outcome hinging on whether a subtle warm advection or slight cloud cover develops overnight. Historical August baselines for the city center average near 33°C, but current anomalies have lifted expectations toward the upper end of the distribution. Traders price the 38°C and 39°C outcomes nearly even because small revisions in the final model runs or official observations from AEMET stations could easily shift the recorded high across that narrow threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$14,167Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 7 will likely peak between 37°C and 39°C under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of midsummer. Ensemble models show modest variability in daytime heating driven by clear skies, low humidity around 20-30%, and light winds that limit mixing, with the precise outcome hinging on whether a subtle warm advection or slight cloud cover develops overnight. Historical August baselines for the city center average near 33°C, but current anomalies have lifted expectations toward the upper end of the distribution. Traders price the 38°C and 39°C outcomes nearly even because small revisions in the final model runs or official observations from AEMET stations could easily shift the recorded high across that narrow threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,167Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 7 will likely peak between 37°C and 39°C under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of midsummer. Ensemble models show modest variability in daytime heating driven by clear skies, low humidity around 20-30%, and light winds that limit mixing, with the precise outcome hinging on whether a subtle warm advection or slight cloud cover develops overnight. Historical August baselines for the city center average near 33°C, but current anomalies have lifted expectations toward the upper end of the distribution. Traders price the 38°C and 39°C outcomes nearly even because small revisions in the final model runs or official observations from AEMET stations could easily shift the recorded high across that narrow threshold before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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