Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 indicate a maximum of 26°C under largely settled high-pressure conditions with hazy sunshine and light winds, supporting the narrow market edge for that outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 25–26°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with 25°C at 36.5%. After early-August cooling from prior heat, above-average but not extreme temperatures align with seasonal baselines, while small risks of 27°C or higher hinge on clearer skies or delayed Atlantic influence. Short-range guidance updates through the evening of August 6 will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 7?
Highest temperature in London on August 7?
26°C 40%
25°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
BARU
$10,435 Vol.
BARU
$10,435 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
37%
26°C
40%
27°C
13%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
25°C 37%
27°C 13%
24°C 11%
BARU
$10,435 Vol.
BARU
$10,435 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
22°C or below
$1,117 Vol.
1%
23°C
$535 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,002 Vol.
11%
25°C
$2,355 Vol.
37%
26°C
$1,834 Vol.
40%
27°C
$969 Vol.
13%
28°C
$964 Vol.
3%
29°C
$237 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$557 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$557 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 indicate a maximum of 26°C under largely settled high-pressure conditions with hazy sunshine and light winds, supporting the narrow market edge for that outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 25–26°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with 25°C at 36.5%. After early-August cooling from prior heat, above-average but not extreme temperatures align with seasonal baselines, while small risks of 27°C or higher hinge on clearer skies or delayed Atlantic influence. Short-range guidance updates through the evening of August 6 will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$10,435Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 indicate a maximum of 26°C under largely settled high-pressure conditions with hazy sunshine and light winds, supporting the narrow market edge for that outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 25–26°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with 25°C at 36.5%. After early-August cooling from prior heat, above-average but not extreme temperatures align with seasonal baselines, while small risks of 27°C or higher hinge on clearer skies or delayed Atlantic influence. Short-range guidance updates through the evening of August 6 will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,435Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 indicate a maximum of 26°C under largely settled high-pressure conditions with hazy sunshine and light winds, supporting the narrow market edge for that outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 25–26°C because ensemble models show modest uncertainty in daytime heating tied to variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with 25°C at 36.5%. After early-August cooling from prior heat, above-average but not extreme temperatures align with seasonal baselines, while small risks of 27°C or higher hinge on clearer skies or delayed Atlantic influence. Short-range guidance updates through the evening of August 6 will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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