PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 12 point to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid the southwest monsoon, which sustains cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and high humidity that limits radiative heating and caps temperature extremes. Recent model guidance and climatological baselines for the peak rainy season place the most probable maximum around 30–31°C, consistent with observed August averages of 31°C and the moderating influence of frequent precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 30°C and 26.5% for 31°C aligns with these official outlooks, while lower odds for 32°C+ or sub-29°C outcomes reflect the narrow range typical under persistent monsoon conditions. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 12?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 12?
30°C 47%
31°C 27%
29°C 18%
32°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
18%
30°C
47%
31°C
27%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
31°C 27%
29°C 18%
32°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$396 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$432 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$64 Vol.
1%
28°C
$385 Vol.
3%
29°C
$737 Vol.
18%
30°C
$439 Vol.
47%
31°C
$164 Vol.
27%
32°C
$754 Vol.
5%
33°C
$851 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 12 point to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid the southwest monsoon, which sustains cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and high humidity that limits radiative heating and caps temperature extremes. Recent model guidance and climatological baselines for the peak rainy season place the most probable maximum around 30–31°C, consistent with observed August averages of 31°C and the moderating influence of frequent precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 30°C and 26.5% for 31°C aligns with these official outlooks, while lower odds for 32°C+ or sub-29°C outcomes reflect the narrow range typical under persistent monsoon conditions. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$4,508Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 12 point to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid the southwest monsoon, which sustains cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and high humidity that limits radiative heating and caps temperature extremes. Recent model guidance and climatological baselines for the peak rainy season place the most probable maximum around 30–31°C, consistent with observed August averages of 31°C and the moderating influence of frequent precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 30°C and 26.5% for 31°C aligns with these official outlooks, while lower odds for 32°C+ or sub-29°C outcomes reflect the narrow range typical under persistent monsoon conditions. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,508Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 12 point to daytime highs near 30–33°C amid the southwest monsoon, which sustains cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and high humidity that limits radiative heating and caps temperature extremes. Recent model guidance and climatological baselines for the peak rainy season place the most probable maximum around 30–31°C, consistent with observed August averages of 31°C and the moderating influence of frequent precipitation. Trader consensus reflected in the 46.5% implied probability for 30°C and 26.5% for 31°C aligns with these official outlooks, while lower odds for 32°C+ or sub-29°C outcomes reflect the narrow range typical under persistent monsoon conditions. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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