Mid-August climatology in Jinan positions typical daily highs near 30–32 °C, with recent National Meteorological Center guidance indicating rain and persistent cloud cover moderating the August 12 maximum to roughly 26–27 °C. These conditions reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 26 °C threshold while remaining consistent with observed seasonal baselines and short-term model consensus. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher reflects this strong evidence from official forecasts and historical patterns. An unusually strong cold front or heavier precipitation could theoretically suppress readings further, yet current atmospheric setup makes such outcomes highly improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on August 12?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 12?
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
BARU
$35,771 Vol.
BARU
$35,771 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.8%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
BARU
$35,771 Vol.
BARU
$35,771 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
$3,273 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,774 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,749 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,338 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,191 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,855 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,076 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,287 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,927 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,366 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$4,935 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mid-August climatology in Jinan positions typical daily highs near 30–32 °C, with recent National Meteorological Center guidance indicating rain and persistent cloud cover moderating the August 12 maximum to roughly 26–27 °C. These conditions reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 26 °C threshold while remaining consistent with observed seasonal baselines and short-term model consensus. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher reflects this strong evidence from official forecasts and historical patterns. An unusually strong cold front or heavier precipitation could theoretically suppress readings further, yet current atmospheric setup makes such outcomes highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$35,771Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mid-August climatology in Jinan positions typical daily highs near 30–32 °C, with recent National Meteorological Center guidance indicating rain and persistent cloud cover moderating the August 12 maximum to roughly 26–27 °C. These conditions reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 26 °C threshold while remaining consistent with observed seasonal baselines and short-term model consensus. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher reflects this strong evidence from official forecasts and historical patterns. An unusually strong cold front or heavier precipitation could theoretically suppress readings further, yet current atmospheric setup makes such outcomes highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,771Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mid-August climatology in Jinan positions typical daily highs near 30–32 °C, with recent National Meteorological Center guidance indicating rain and persistent cloud cover moderating the August 12 maximum to roughly 26–27 °C. These conditions reduce solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the 26 °C threshold while remaining consistent with observed seasonal baselines and short-term model consensus. The near-certain market-implied probability for 26 °C or higher reflects this strong evidence from official forecasts and historical patterns. An unusually strong cold front or heavier precipitation could theoretically suppress readings further, yet current atmospheric setup makes such outcomes highly improbable before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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