Recent forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31–32 °C for September 5, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 38 % implied probability. Persistent morning cloud cover and light rain or scattered showers are expected to limit surface heating, while moderate northeast winds and seasonal early-autumn conditions keep readings below late-summer peaks. Updated model runs show minimal disagreement on the upper range, with 33 °C remaining a plausible but less likely outlier if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Official observations and verification data will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 5?
32°C 37%
30°C 18%
31°C 18%
33°C 10%
BARU
$15,393 Vol.
BARU
$15,393 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
18%
32°C
37%
33°C
10%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
30°C 18%
31°C 18%
33°C 10%
BARU
$15,393 Vol.
BARU
$15,393 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
27°C or below
$3,404 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,203 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,158 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,076 Vol.
18%
31°C
$1,935 Vol.
18%
32°C
$886 Vol.
37%
33°C
$1,201 Vol.
10%
34°C
$1,397 Vol.
4%
35°C
$858 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$989 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31–32 °C for September 5, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 38 % implied probability. Persistent morning cloud cover and light rain or scattered showers are expected to limit surface heating, while moderate northeast winds and seasonal early-autumn conditions keep readings below late-summer peaks. Updated model runs show minimal disagreement on the upper range, with 33 °C remaining a plausible but less likely outlier if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Official observations and verification data will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,393Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31–32 °C for September 5, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 38 % implied probability. Persistent morning cloud cover and light rain or scattered showers are expected to limit surface heating, while moderate northeast winds and seasonal early-autumn conditions keep readings below late-summer peaks. Updated model runs show minimal disagreement on the upper range, with 33 °C remaining a plausible but less likely outlier if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Official observations and verification data will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,393Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Station and international models converge on a daily maximum near 31–32 °C for September 5, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 32 °C outcome at 38 % implied probability. Persistent morning cloud cover and light rain or scattered showers are expected to limit surface heating, while moderate northeast winds and seasonal early-autumn conditions keep readings below late-summer peaks. Updated model runs show minimal disagreement on the upper range, with 33 °C remaining a plausible but less likely outlier if skies clear earlier than anticipated. Official observations and verification data will resolve the market once the full daily maximum is confirmed.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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