**Latest official forecasts position mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 13.** Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance and international models from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 36 °C (96–97 °F), with afternoon thundershowers and high humidity typical of Taipei’s subtropical summer pattern. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcomes at 36 °C (42 %) and 37 °C (31.5 %), as urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds limit rapid cooling despite cloud cover. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no approaching tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions to alter the trajectory. Afternoon convective activity may cap the extreme upper tail, keeping probabilities for 38 °C or higher below 7 % while supporting a modest chance of 35 °C if showers arrive earlier. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast updates heavily, consistent with historical August variability where peaks commonly reach 34–36 °C under similar synoptic setups. Updated CWA briefings and morning model runs on August 13 will provide the final resolution data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on August 13?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 13?
36°C 43%
37°C 32%
35°C 19%
38°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
43%
37°C
32%
38°C
7%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 43%
37°C 32%
35°C 19%
38°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
$582 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$708 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$258 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,564 Vol.
2%
34°C
$215 Vol.
4%
35°C
$546 Vol.
19%
36°C
$996 Vol.
43%
37°C
$402 Vol.
32%
38°C
$615 Vol.
7%
39°C or higher
$1,310 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts position mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 13.** Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance and international models from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 36 °C (96–97 °F), with afternoon thundershowers and high humidity typical of Taipei’s subtropical summer pattern. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcomes at 36 °C (42 %) and 37 °C (31.5 %), as urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds limit rapid cooling despite cloud cover.
Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no approaching tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions to alter the trajectory. Afternoon convective activity may cap the extreme upper tail, keeping probabilities for 38 °C or higher below 7 % while supporting a modest chance of 35 °C if showers arrive earlier. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast updates heavily, consistent with historical August variability where peaks commonly reach 34–36 °C under similar synoptic setups. Updated CWA briefings and morning model runs on August 13 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,526Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official forecasts position mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 13.** Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance and international models from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 36 °C (96–97 °F), with afternoon thundershowers and high humidity typical of Taipei’s subtropical summer pattern. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcomes at 36 °C (42 %) and 37 °C (31.5 %), as urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds limit rapid cooling despite cloud cover.
Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no approaching tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions to alter the trajectory. Afternoon convective activity may cap the extreme upper tail, keeping probabilities for 38 °C or higher below 7 % while supporting a modest chance of 35 °C if showers arrive earlier. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast updates heavily, consistent with historical August variability where peaks commonly reach 34–36 °C under similar synoptic setups. Updated CWA briefings and morning model runs on August 13 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,526Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official forecasts position mid-30s Celsius as the most probable range for Taipei’s peak temperature on August 13.** Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance and international models from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 36 °C (96–97 °F), with afternoon thundershowers and high humidity typical of Taipei’s subtropical summer pattern. These conditions favor the market’s leading outcomes at 36 °C (42 %) and 37 °C (31.5 %), as urban heat-island effects and weak steering winds limit rapid cooling despite cloud cover. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with no approaching tropical systems or strong cold-air intrusions to alter the trajectory. Afternoon convective activity may cap the extreme upper tail, keeping probabilities for 38 °C or higher below 7 % while supporting a modest chance of 35 °C if showers arrive earlier. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast updates heavily, consistent with historical August variability where peaks commonly reach 34–36 °C under similar synoptic setups. Updated CWA briefings and morning model runs on August 13 will provide the final resolution data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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