**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1 centers on 35–36°C outcomes (83% combined implied probability) due to model consensus for clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and seasonal summer heating along the Yellow Sea coast.** Coastal sea breezes typically moderate peaks, yet persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation in early August have supported daytime highs near or above long-term averages of 29–31°C. Recent late-July warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation have shifted expectations upward, with official stations likely recording 32–35°C under these conditions. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before any evening cooling, while sub-34°C outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected marine influence or frontal passage. New model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 1?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1?
36°C 63%
35°C 21.3%
37°C 15%
38°C or higher 2%
$26,560 Vol.
$26,560 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
21%
36°C
63%
37°C
15%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 63%
35°C 21.3%
37°C 15%
38°C or higher 2%
$26,560 Vol.
$26,560 Vol.
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$424 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$529 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$384 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$836 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,305 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,460 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,580 Vol.
21%
36°C
$3,025 Vol.
63%
37°C
$2,646 Vol.
15%
38°C or higher
$4,974 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1 centers on 35–36°C outcomes (83% combined implied probability) due to model consensus for clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and seasonal summer heating along the Yellow Sea coast.**
Coastal sea breezes typically moderate peaks, yet persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation in early August have supported daytime highs near or above long-term averages of 29–31°C. Recent late-July warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation have shifted expectations upward, with official stations likely recording 32–35°C under these conditions. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before any evening cooling, while sub-34°C outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected marine influence or frontal passage. New model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$26,560Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1 centers on 35–36°C outcomes (83% combined implied probability) due to model consensus for clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and seasonal summer heating along the Yellow Sea coast.**
Coastal sea breezes typically moderate peaks, yet persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation in early August have supported daytime highs near or above long-term averages of 29–31°C. Recent late-July warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation have shifted expectations upward, with official stations likely recording 32–35°C under these conditions. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before any evening cooling, while sub-34°C outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected marine influence or frontal passage. New model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,560Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Qingdao on August 1 centers on 35–36°C outcomes (83% combined implied probability) due to model consensus for clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and seasonal summer heating along the Yellow Sea coast.** Coastal sea breezes typically moderate peaks, yet persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation in early August have supported daytime highs near or above long-term averages of 29–31°C. Recent late-July warmth and minimal cloud cover or precipitation have shifted expectations upward, with official stations likely recording 32–35°C under these conditions. Lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited intensification potential before any evening cooling, while sub-34°C outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected marine influence or frontal passage. New model runs or real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these market-implied odds as the day progresses.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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