Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?

Aug 31

Sep 1

Sep 2

Aug 31

Sep 1

Sep 2

29°C 34%

30°C 30%

28°C 20%

31°C 16%

Polymarket
BARU

29°C 34%

30°C 30%

28°C 20%

31°C 16%

Polymarket
BARU

24°C or below

$418 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$417 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$236 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$1,030 Vol.

1%

28°C

$1,118 Vol.

20%

29°C

$313 Vol.

34%

30°C

$185 Vol.

30%

31°C

$257 Vol.

16%

32°C

$449 Vol.

3%

33°C

$157 Vol.

2%

34°C or higher

$207 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C implied probabilities for Hong Kong’s September 2 maximum, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory guidance of 26–31°C amid the nearby passage of tropical cyclone Sadul and strengthening northeast monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwesterly winds of 4–6 Beaufort with higher gusts on elevated terrain are expected to limit solar insolation and enhance mixing, preventing stronger afternoon heating. Model runs show modest variability in shower timing and any brief sunny intervals that could push readings to 31°C or hold them at 28°C. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,788
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C implied probabilities for Hong Kong’s September 2 maximum, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory guidance of 26–31°C amid the nearby passage of tropical cyclone Sadul and strengthening northeast monsoon flow. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwesterly winds of 4–6 Beaufort with higher gusts on elevated terrain are expected to limit solar insolation and enhance mixing, preventing stronger afternoon heating. Model runs show modest variability in shower timing and any brief sunny intervals that could push readings to 31°C or hold them at 28°C. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the clearest signals for final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,788
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Terkait

icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?

86%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 2?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 2?

35%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

66%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "29°C" di 34%, diikuti oleh "30°C" di 30%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 34¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 34% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 31, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?" adalah "29°C" di 34%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 34% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "30°C" di 30%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.