Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on August 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 14?
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
87°F or below
$190 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$113 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$300 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$161 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$118 Vol.
36%
98-99°F
$741 Vol.
45%
100-101°F
$101 Vol.
12%
102-103°F
$39 Vol.
3%
104-105°F
$195 Vol.
2%
106°F or higher
$496 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,579Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,579Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow across Central Texas are sustaining hot, humid conditions for Austin on August 14, with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance converging on a daily maximum near 99–101°F. This aligns closely with late-summer climatology, where the seasonal average high reaches 99°F, supporting the market’s dominant implied probabilities on 98–99°F (45.5%) and 96–97°F (35.5%). Minor variations in model depictions of cloud cover, weak disturbances, or boundary-layer mixing introduce the smaller chance assigned to 100–101°F (11.5%). Overnight observations and the next model cycle will provide the primary updates for traders monitoring the 100°F threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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