Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 15 most likely peaking between 30–33°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with moderating northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover. High atmospheric moisture from the East Asian monsoon supports afternoon convection and possible thunderstorms that can suppress afternoon highs by 1–2°C, while subsidence under weak high pressure favors clearer skies and slightly warmer peaks. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 30°C, with the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (31–32°C) driven by minor differences in model handling of boundary-layer moisture and urban heat effects. Updated short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will likely tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 15?
31°C 30%
32°C 28%
33°C 21%
30°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
28%
33°C
21%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 30%
32°C 28%
33°C 21%
30°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
28°C
$10 Vol.
4%
29°C
$250 Vol.
5%
30°C
$52 Vol.
15%
31°C
$20 Vol.
30%
32°C
$88 Vol.
28%
33°C
$48 Vol.
21%
34°C
$30 Vol.
6%
35°C
$36 Vol.
1%
36°C
$12 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 15 most likely peaking between 30–33°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with moderating northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover. High atmospheric moisture from the East Asian monsoon supports afternoon convection and possible thunderstorms that can suppress afternoon highs by 1–2°C, while subsidence under weak high pressure favors clearer skies and slightly warmer peaks. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 30°C, with the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (31–32°C) driven by minor differences in model handling of boundary-layer moisture and urban heat effects. Updated short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will likely tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$595Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 15 most likely peaking between 30–33°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with moderating northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover. High atmospheric moisture from the East Asian monsoon supports afternoon convection and possible thunderstorms that can suppress afternoon highs by 1–2°C, while subsidence under weak high pressure favors clearer skies and slightly warmer peaks. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 30°C, with the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (31–32°C) driven by minor differences in model handling of boundary-layer moisture and urban heat effects. Updated short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will likely tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$595Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show maximum temperatures in Beijing on August 15 most likely peaking between 30–33°C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions with moderating northeasterly flow and variable cloud cover. High atmospheric moisture from the East Asian monsoon supports afternoon convection and possible thunderstorms that can suppress afternoon highs by 1–2°C, while subsidence under weak high pressure favors clearer skies and slightly warmer peaks. Historical climatology places mid-August averages near 30°C, with the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (31–32°C) driven by minor differences in model handling of boundary-layer moisture and urban heat effects. Updated short-range guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will likely tighten resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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