**Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s August 15 maximum near 26–28 °C (roughly 79–82 °F), with partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 20–21 mph, and minimal precipitation risk.** This positioning aligns with mid-August climatology, where long-term averages show daily highs of 27–29 °C declining slightly late in the month, though recent model runs indicate a modest cooling trend from the 31 °C peak observed on August 13. The market’s strong weighting toward 26 °C (49.5 %) over 27 °C (10.5 %) reflects trader consensus on the latest ensemble guidance, which incorporates local factors such as Black Sea-influenced humidity and steering patterns that limit daytime heating. Resolution will hinge on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations of the daily maximum; any upward revision in guidance before August 15 could shift odds toward the 27–28 °C range, while persistent cloud cover would reinforce the lower outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
26°C 59%
25°C 24%
27°C 12%
24°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
24%
26°C
59%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 59%
25°C 24%
27°C 12%
24°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$97 Vol.
1%
23°C
$123 Vol.
2%
24°C
$225 Vol.
6%
25°C
$126 Vol.
24%
26°C
$617 Vol.
59%
27°C
$54 Vol.
12%
28°C
$344 Vol.
3%
29°C
$52 Vol.
1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
2%
31°C
$12 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$115 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s August 15 maximum near 26–28 °C (roughly 79–82 °F), with partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 20–21 mph, and minimal precipitation risk.**
This positioning aligns with mid-August climatology, where long-term averages show daily highs of 27–29 °C declining slightly late in the month, though recent model runs indicate a modest cooling trend from the 31 °C peak observed on August 13.
The market’s strong weighting toward 26 °C (49.5 %) over 27 °C (10.5 %) reflects trader consensus on the latest ensemble guidance, which incorporates local factors such as Black Sea-influenced humidity and steering patterns that limit daytime heating.
Resolution will hinge on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations of the daily maximum; any upward revision in guidance before August 15 could shift odds toward the 27–28 °C range, while persistent cloud cover would reinforce the lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,776Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s August 15 maximum near 26–28 °C (roughly 79–82 °F), with partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 20–21 mph, and minimal precipitation risk.**
This positioning aligns with mid-August climatology, where long-term averages show daily highs of 27–29 °C declining slightly late in the month, though recent model runs indicate a modest cooling trend from the 31 °C peak observed on August 13.
The market’s strong weighting toward 26 °C (49.5 %) over 27 °C (10.5 %) reflects trader consensus on the latest ensemble guidance, which incorporates local factors such as Black Sea-influenced humidity and steering patterns that limit daytime heating.
Resolution will hinge on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations of the daily maximum; any upward revision in guidance before August 15 could shift odds toward the 27–28 °C range, while persistent cloud cover would reinforce the lower outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,776Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather place Istanbul’s August 15 maximum near 26–28 °C (roughly 79–82 °F), with partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds around 20–21 mph, and minimal precipitation risk.** This positioning aligns with mid-August climatology, where long-term averages show daily highs of 27–29 °C declining slightly late in the month, though recent model runs indicate a modest cooling trend from the 31 °C peak observed on August 13. The market’s strong weighting toward 26 °C (49.5 %) over 27 °C (10.5 %) reflects trader consensus on the latest ensemble guidance, which incorporates local factors such as Black Sea-influenced humidity and steering patterns that limit daytime heating. Resolution will hinge on official Turkish Meteorological Service observations of the daily maximum; any upward revision in guidance before August 15 could shift odds toward the 27–28 °C range, while persistent cloud cover would reinforce the lower outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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