National Weather Service forecasts for Austin point to a high near 100–102°F on August 13 under a strong upper-level ridge that has sustained mostly sunny, hot conditions across Central Texas. This setup favors the market’s leading 100–101°F outcome, consistent with recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and south winds that add humidity without substantially cooling daytime temperatures. August climatology places normal highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, so the current ridge represents a warmer-than-average pattern; however, any increase in afternoon convection or slight westward shift in the ridge could trim the peak by a degree or two. Updated NWS guidance and local observations the morning of the 13th will provide the final verification data for market resolution.