Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC highlight light rain and increased cloud cover over Wuhan on August 14, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 28–29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those bins, as precipitation and humidity suppress surface heating in the subtropical monsoon regime. Model outputs show modest spread from steering patterns and convective timing, with 30°C remaining viable absent heavier rainfall. Historical August baselines average 31–35°C, but current synoptic conditions favor cooler outcomes; updated runs from regional models or the China Meteorological Administration could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 14?
29°C 32%
28°C 27%
30°C 24%
27°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
16%
28°C
27%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 27%
30°C 24%
27°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
24°C or below
$35 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$82 Vol.
11%
27°C
$4 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
32%
30°C
$2 Vol.
24%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$12 Vol.
3%
33°C
$12 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC highlight light rain and increased cloud cover over Wuhan on August 14, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 28–29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those bins, as precipitation and humidity suppress surface heating in the subtropical monsoon regime. Model outputs show modest spread from steering patterns and convective timing, with 30°C remaining viable absent heavier rainfall. Historical August baselines average 31–35°C, but current synoptic conditions favor cooler outcomes; updated runs from regional models or the China Meteorological Administration could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$159Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC highlight light rain and increased cloud cover over Wuhan on August 14, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 28–29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those bins, as precipitation and humidity suppress surface heating in the subtropical monsoon regime. Model outputs show modest spread from steering patterns and convective timing, with 30°C remaining viable absent heavier rainfall. Historical August baselines average 31–35°C, but current synoptic conditions favor cooler outcomes; updated runs from regional models or the China Meteorological Administration could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$159Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC highlight light rain and increased cloud cover over Wuhan on August 14, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 28–29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those bins, as precipitation and humidity suppress surface heating in the subtropical monsoon regime. Model outputs show modest spread from steering patterns and convective timing, with 30°C remaining viable absent heavier rainfall. Historical August baselines average 31–35°C, but current synoptic conditions favor cooler outcomes; updated runs from regional models or the China Meteorological Administration could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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