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icon for Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

icon for Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

$74,697 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$74,697 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$22,650 Vol.

2%

December 31

$14,648 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abbas Araghchi has served as Iran’s foreign minister since August 2024 under President Masoud Pezeshkian, managing diplomacy amid the 2026 conflict, ceasefire talks in Islamabad, and subsequent regional engagements with Russia, China, and neighbors. Reports from April and May 2026 indicated Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal, citing coordination with IRGC commander Ahmad Vahidi over civilian oversight during nuclear and U.S. negotiations; these efforts did not result in dismissal. Hardline protests in June 2026 targeted Araghchi and Ghalibaf over perceived concessions in the U.S. deal. As of early September 2026, official records and state media continue to list him as the active minister handling ongoing security and economic diplomacy, with no confirmed cabinet change or resignation. Trader assessments hinge on future signals from the president, parliament, or Supreme Leader regarding cabinet stability or reshuffles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$74,697
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abbas Araghchi has served as Iran’s foreign minister since August 2024 under President Masoud Pezeshkian, managing diplomacy amid the 2026 conflict, ceasefire talks in Islamabad, and subsequent regional engagements with Russia, China, and neighbors. Reports from April and May 2026 indicated Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sought his removal, citing coordination with IRGC commander Ahmad Vahidi over civilian oversight during nuclear and U.S. negotiations; these efforts did not result in dismissal. Hardline protests in June 2026 targeted Araghchi and Ghalibaf over perceived concessions in the U.S. deal. As of early September 2026, official records and state media continue to list him as the active minister handling ongoing security and economic diplomacy, with no confirmed cabinet change or resignation. Trader assessments hinge on future signals from the president, parliament, or Supreme Leader regarding cabinet stability or reshuffles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$74,697
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 9, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "December 31" di 12%, diikuti oleh "September 30" di 2%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 12¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 12% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" telah menghasilkan $74.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 9, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" adalah "December 31" di 12%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 12% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "September 30" di 2%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.