Recent US-Iran diplomacy features multiple rounds of direct and technical talks in 2025-2026, including sessions in Oman, Switzerland, Islamabad, and Doha focused on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day framework for a broader deal, though subsequent strikes and ceasefires have created uncertainty. As of mid-August 2026, US statements indicate ongoing or imminent negotiations, while Iranian officials describe only intermediary messaging without confirmed formal rounds. Key participants have included senior figures such as President Trump, Vice President Vance, Iranian President Pezeshkian, and negotiator Ghalibaf, with mediation by Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. No major new summit dates are confirmed through year-end, leaving trader assessments tied to whether de-escalation efforts produce another verifiable round before the December 31 deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$30,970 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
स्टीव विटकॉफ
73%
जेरेड कुशनर
65%
अब्बास अराग़ची
63%
मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
63%
मजीद तख्त-रावांजी
55%
जे.डी. वेंस
44%
निक स्टीवर्ट
25%
मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी
24%
काजम घरीबाबादी
20%
राफेल ग्रोसी
23%
मसूद पज़ेश्कियन
43%
मार्को रुबिओ
22%
बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी
16%
अहमद वहीदी
15%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
12%
पीट हेगसेथ
6%
मोज्तबा खामेनेई
5%
इस्माइल क़आनी
7%
इशाक डार
41%
$30,970 वॉल्यूम
स्टीव विटकॉफ
$696 वॉल्यूम
73%
जेरेड कुशनर
$635 वॉल्यूम
65%
अब्बास अराग़ची
$425 वॉल्यूम
63%
मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
$80 वॉल्यूम
63%
मजीद तख्त-रावांजी
$20 वॉल्यूम
55%
जे.डी. वेंस
$873 वॉल्यूम
44%
निक स्टीवर्ट
$106 वॉल्यूम
25%
मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी
$998 वॉल्यूम
24%
काजम घरीबाबादी
$885 वॉल्यूम
20%
राफेल ग्रोसी
$509 वॉल्यूम
23%
मसूद पज़ेश्कियन
$549 वॉल्यूम
43%
मार्को रुबिओ
$311 वॉल्यूम
22%
बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी
$964 वॉल्यूम
16%
अहमद वहीदी
$25 वॉल्यूम
15%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
$59 वॉल्यूम
12%
पीट हेगसेथ
$2,478 वॉल्यूम
6%
मोज्तबा खामेनेई
$19,111 वॉल्यूम
5%
इस्माइल क़आनी
$1,245 वॉल्यूम
7%
इशाक डार
$1,002 वॉल्यूम
41%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent US-Iran diplomacy features multiple rounds of direct and technical talks in 2025-2026, including sessions in Oman, Switzerland, Islamabad, and Doha focused on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day framework for a broader deal, though subsequent strikes and ceasefires have created uncertainty. As of mid-August 2026, US statements indicate ongoing or imminent negotiations, while Iranian officials describe only intermediary messaging without confirmed formal rounds. Key participants have included senior figures such as President Trump, Vice President Vance, Iranian President Pezeshkian, and negotiator Ghalibaf, with mediation by Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. No major new summit dates are confirmed through year-end, leaving trader assessments tied to whether de-escalation efforts produce another verifiable round before the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,970समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent US-Iran diplomacy features multiple rounds of direct and technical talks in 2025-2026, including sessions in Oman, Switzerland, Islamabad, and Doha focused on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day framework for a broader deal, though subsequent strikes and ceasefires have created uncertainty. As of mid-August 2026, US statements indicate ongoing or imminent negotiations, while Iranian officials describe only intermediary messaging without confirmed formal rounds. Key participants have included senior figures such as President Trump, Vice President Vance, Iranian President Pezeshkian, and negotiator Ghalibaf, with mediation by Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. No major new summit dates are confirmed through year-end, leaving trader assessments tied to whether de-escalation efforts produce another verifiable round before the December 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$30,970समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran diplomacy features multiple rounds of direct and technical talks in 2025-2026, including sessions in Oman, Switzerland, Islamabad, and Doha focused on nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation. The June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum established a 60-day framework for a broader deal, though subsequent strikes and ceasefires have created uncertainty. As of mid-August 2026, US statements indicate ongoing or imminent negotiations, while Iranian officials describe only intermediary messaging without confirmed formal rounds. Key participants have included senior figures such as President Trump, Vice President Vance, Iranian President Pezeshkian, and negotiator Ghalibaf, with mediation by Pakistan, Qatar, and Oman. No major new summit dates are confirmed through year-end, leaving trader assessments tied to whether de-escalation efforts produce another verifiable round before the December 31 deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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