Recent ensemble forecasts highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge over central Europe, fostering subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer continental air that supports maximum temperatures in Warsaw around 37–38 °C on August 5. Slight differences among ECMWF and GFS runs arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth, low-level moisture, and possible diurnal cumulus development, which traders weigh when assigning the highest implied probabilities to 38 °C (38.5 %) and 37 °C (30.5 %). Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management observations, using WMO-standard screens, will resolve the market; any late adjustment in steering flow or increased cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 36 °C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
5 अगस्त को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
38°C 39%
37°C 31%
36°C 18%
39°C 6%
नया
$25,501 वॉल्यूम
नया
$25,501 वॉल्यूम
5 अग, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
18%
37°C
31%
38°C
39%
39°C
6%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
38°C 39%
37°C 31%
36°C 18%
39°C 6%
नया
$25,501 वॉल्यूम
नया
$25,501 वॉल्यूम
5 अग, 2026
31°C or below
$4,006 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C
$2,847 वॉल्यूम
<1%
33°C
$2,307 वॉल्यूम
1%
34°C
$1,891 वॉल्यूम
2%
35°C
$1,628 वॉल्यूम
5%
36°C
$1,686 वॉल्यूम
18%
37°C
$1,123 वॉल्यूम
31%
38°C
$4,488 वॉल्यूम
39%
39°C
$2,829 वॉल्यूम
6%
40°C
$2,263 वॉल्यूम
1%
41°C or higher
$432 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge over central Europe, fostering subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer continental air that supports maximum temperatures in Warsaw around 37–38 °C on August 5. Slight differences among ECMWF and GFS runs arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth, low-level moisture, and possible diurnal cumulus development, which traders weigh when assigning the highest implied probabilities to 38 °C (38.5 %) and 37 °C (30.5 %). Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management observations, using WMO-standard screens, will resolve the market; any late adjustment in steering flow or increased cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 36 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,501समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge over central Europe, fostering subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer continental air that supports maximum temperatures in Warsaw around 37–38 °C on August 5. Slight differences among ECMWF and GFS runs arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth, low-level moisture, and possible diurnal cumulus development, which traders weigh when assigning the highest implied probabilities to 38 °C (38.5 %) and 37 °C (30.5 %). Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management observations, using WMO-standard screens, will resolve the market; any late adjustment in steering flow or increased cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 36 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$25,501समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge over central Europe, fostering subsidence, clear skies, and southerly advection of warmer continental air that supports maximum temperatures in Warsaw around 37–38 °C on August 5. Slight differences among ECMWF and GFS runs arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing depth, low-level moisture, and possible diurnal cumulus development, which traders weigh when assigning the highest implied probabilities to 38 °C (38.5 %) and 37 °C (30.5 %). Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management observations, using WMO-standard screens, will resolve the market; any late adjustment in steering flow or increased cloud cover could shift the outcome toward 36 °C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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