Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over Paris ahead of an Atlantic frontal boundary, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk on August 15 limiting peak solar heating. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 32–33°C at official stations, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from convection offset residual warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, though slight variations in storm timing or boundary position could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in Paris average 24–26°C, underscoring how this late-summer transition keeps outcomes clustered around the current market leaders. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins will refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 52%
32°C 37%
34°C 20%
35°C 11%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
30°C or below
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
39%
33°C
41%
34°C
20%
35°C
11%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
33°C 52%
32°C 37%
34°C 20%
35°C 11%
नया
नया
15 अग, 2026
30°C or below
$11 वॉल्यूम
3%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
8%
32°C
$79 वॉल्यूम
39%
33°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
41%
34°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
36°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
3%
37°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
3%
38°C
$22 वॉल्यूम
3%
39°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
40°C or higher
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over Paris ahead of an Atlantic frontal boundary, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk on August 15 limiting peak solar heating. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 32–33°C at official stations, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from convection offset residual warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, though slight variations in storm timing or boundary position could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in Paris average 24–26°C, underscoring how this late-summer transition keeps outcomes clustered around the current market leaders. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$179समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over Paris ahead of an Atlantic frontal boundary, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk on August 15 limiting peak solar heating. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 32–33°C at official stations, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from convection offset residual warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, though slight variations in storm timing or boundary position could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in Paris average 24–26°C, underscoring how this late-summer transition keeps outcomes clustered around the current market leaders. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$179समाप्ति तिथि
15 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over Paris ahead of an Atlantic frontal boundary, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk on August 15 limiting peak solar heating. This setup favors a maximum temperature near 32–33°C at official stations, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from convection offset residual warm advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight given the short lead time, though slight variations in storm timing or boundary position could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima in Paris average 24–26°C, underscoring how this late-summer transition keeps outcomes clustered around the current market leaders. Updated model runs and Météo-France bulletins will refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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