Current short-range forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international agencies indicate a Moscow high on August 1 near 25–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with limited precipitation. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering around 27°C (49.5%) and 28°C (23%), as traders weigh model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in that narrow band against typical early-August climatology of 22–24°C. Recent warming trends and steering patterns favoring southerly flow have elevated expectations above seasonal norms, while inherent uncertainties in exact timing of maximum insolation and urban heat island effects sustain the spread between leading outcomes. Updated model guidance or real-time observations near resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 53%
28°C 22%
26°C 10%
29°C 8%
$21,317 वॉल्यूम
$21,317 वॉल्यूम
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
53%
28°C
22%
29°C
8%
30°C या उससे अधिक
1%
27°C 53%
28°C 22%
26°C 10%
29°C 8%
$21,317 वॉल्यूम
$21,317 वॉल्यूम
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
53%
28°C
22%
29°C
8%
30°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and international agencies indicate a Moscow high on August 1 near 25–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with limited precipitation. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering around 27°C (49.5%) and 28°C (23%), as traders weigh model runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in that narrow band against typical early-August climatology of 22–24°C. Recent warming trends and steering patterns favoring southerly flow have elevated expectations above seasonal norms, while inherent uncertainties in exact timing of maximum insolation and urban heat island effects sustain the spread between leading outcomes. Updated model guidance or real-time observations near resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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