Near-term forecast models from major agencies indicate Istanbul's highest temperature on August 1 will likely reach 27°C, aligning closely with seasonal climatology where August serves as the warmest month with average daily highs of 28–29°C under typical Mediterranean conditions. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara have limited intensification potential, keeping projected maxima within a narrow 26–28°C band. Trader consensus, reflected in the 71% implied probability for 27°C, incorporates this model agreement and historical variability of ±2°C around the mean, while lower odds for 28°C or higher account for possible minor warming from afternoon insolation before any evening cooling sets in. Updated observational data from local meteorological stations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
1 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 70%
26°C 26%
28°C 5%
25°C 2%
नया
$12,856 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,856 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
26%
27°C
70%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
27°C 70%
26°C 26%
28°C 5%
25°C 2%
नया
$12,856 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,856 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
$234 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$549 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$537 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$702 वॉल्यूम
2%
26°C
$1,900 वॉल्यूम
26%
27°C
$4,450 वॉल्यूम
70%
28°C
$2,459 वॉल्यूम
5%
29°C
$905 वॉल्यूम
2%
30°C
$365 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$518 वॉल्यूम
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
$238 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Near-term forecast models from major agencies indicate Istanbul's highest temperature on August 1 will likely reach 27°C, aligning closely with seasonal climatology where August serves as the warmest month with average daily highs of 28–29°C under typical Mediterranean conditions. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara have limited intensification potential, keeping projected maxima within a narrow 26–28°C band. Trader consensus, reflected in the 71% implied probability for 27°C, incorporates this model agreement and historical variability of ±2°C around the mean, while lower odds for 28°C or higher account for possible minor warming from afternoon insolation before any evening cooling sets in. Updated observational data from local meteorological stations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,856समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Near-term forecast models from major agencies indicate Istanbul's highest temperature on August 1 will likely reach 27°C, aligning closely with seasonal climatology where August serves as the warmest month with average daily highs of 28–29°C under typical Mediterranean conditions. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara have limited intensification potential, keeping projected maxima within a narrow 26–28°C band. Trader consensus, reflected in the 71% implied probability for 27°C, incorporates this model agreement and historical variability of ±2°C around the mean, while lower odds for 28°C or higher account for possible minor warming from afternoon insolation before any evening cooling sets in. Updated observational data from local meteorological stations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$12,856समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Near-term forecast models from major agencies indicate Istanbul's highest temperature on August 1 will likely reach 27°C, aligning closely with seasonal climatology where August serves as the warmest month with average daily highs of 28–29°C under typical Mediterranean conditions. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara have limited intensification potential, keeping projected maxima within a narrow 26–28°C band. Trader consensus, reflected in the 71% implied probability for 27°C, incorporates this model agreement and historical variability of ±2°C around the mean, while lower odds for 28°C or higher account for possible minor warming from afternoon insolation before any evening cooling sets in. Updated observational data from local meteorological stations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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