**Current forecast guidance from meteorological models positions a daily maximum near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on August 4, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Mexico City’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters above sea level consistently moderates temperatures relative to its subtropical latitude, while August’s rainy-season regime—driven by monsoon moisture and frequent afternoon convection—typically limits peak heating through cloud cover and showers. Recent model consensus, including guidance showing a 27°C high, reflects these conditions without indications of stronger ridging or clearer skies that would push readings toward 29–30°C or higher. The secondary probabilities on 26°C (22.5%) and 28°C (12.5%) capture remaining uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of convective development or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima average 22–24°C, so today’s elevated forecast represents a modestly warmer-than-average day shaped by the prevailing steering flow and limited moisture suppression. Updated observational trends and afternoon model runs will determine whether traders adjust further as resolution nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 अगस्त को मैक्सिको सिटी में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
27°C 55%
26°C 23%
28°C 13%
25°C 3.0%
नया
$10,878 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,878 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
20°C या उससे कम
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
23%
27°C
55%
28°C
13%
29°C
1%
30°C या उससे अधिक
1%
27°C 55%
26°C 23%
28°C 13%
25°C 3.0%
नया
$10,878 वॉल्यूम
नया
$10,878 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
20°C या उससे कम
$347 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$427 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$543 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$593 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$826 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$1,510 वॉल्यूम
3%
26°C
$1,150 वॉल्यूम
23%
27°C
$3,231 वॉल्यूम
55%
28°C
$1,324 वॉल्यूम
13%
29°C
$739 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C या उससे अधिक
$188 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast guidance from meteorological models positions a daily maximum near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on August 4, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability on that outcome.**
Mexico City’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters above sea level consistently moderates temperatures relative to its subtropical latitude, while August’s rainy-season regime—driven by monsoon moisture and frequent afternoon convection—typically limits peak heating through cloud cover and showers. Recent model consensus, including guidance showing a 27°C high, reflects these conditions without indications of stronger ridging or clearer skies that would push readings toward 29–30°C or higher. The secondary probabilities on 26°C (22.5%) and 28°C (12.5%) capture remaining uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of convective development or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima average 22–24°C, so today’s elevated forecast represents a modestly warmer-than-average day shaped by the prevailing steering flow and limited moisture suppression. Updated observational trends and afternoon model runs will determine whether traders adjust further as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,878समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast guidance from meteorological models positions a daily maximum near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on August 4, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability on that outcome.**
Mexico City’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters above sea level consistently moderates temperatures relative to its subtropical latitude, while August’s rainy-season regime—driven by monsoon moisture and frequent afternoon convection—typically limits peak heating through cloud cover and showers. Recent model consensus, including guidance showing a 27°C high, reflects these conditions without indications of stronger ridging or clearer skies that would push readings toward 29–30°C or higher. The secondary probabilities on 26°C (22.5%) and 28°C (12.5%) capture remaining uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of convective development or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima average 22–24°C, so today’s elevated forecast represents a modestly warmer-than-average day shaped by the prevailing steering flow and limited moisture suppression. Updated observational trends and afternoon model runs will determine whether traders adjust further as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$10,878समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast guidance from meteorological models positions a daily maximum near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Mexico City on August 4, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 54.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Mexico City’s high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters above sea level consistently moderates temperatures relative to its subtropical latitude, while August’s rainy-season regime—driven by monsoon moisture and frequent afternoon convection—typically limits peak heating through cloud cover and showers. Recent model consensus, including guidance showing a 27°C high, reflects these conditions without indications of stronger ridging or clearer skies that would push readings toward 29–30°C or higher. The secondary probabilities on 26°C (22.5%) and 28°C (12.5%) capture remaining uncertainty in the exact timing and intensity of convective development or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima average 22–24°C, so today’s elevated forecast represents a modestly warmer-than-average day shaped by the prevailing steering flow and limited moisture suppression. Updated observational trends and afternoon model runs will determine whether traders adjust further as resolution nears.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न