Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a peak temperature near Chicago’s August 4 climatological normal of 83.7 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest trading in the 84–85 °F bin, followed by the adjacent 82–83 °F and 86–87 °F ranges. No significant warm or cool air advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the long-term average and limiting the likelihood of extremes above 88 °F or below 82 °F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update for any shifts in the 850-hPa temperature or boundary-layer moisture fields that could alter the expected maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
84-85°F 50%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 3%
नया
$17,416 वॉल्यूम
नया
$17,416 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
75°F या उससे कम
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
50%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F या अधिक
<1%
84-85°F 50%
86-87°F 26%
82-83°F 18%
88-89°F 3%
नया
$17,416 वॉल्यूम
नया
$17,416 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
75°F या उससे कम
$533 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$476 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78-79°F
$2,300 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-81°F
$1,512 वॉल्यूम
<1%
82-83°F
$3,046 वॉल्यूम
18%
84-85°F
$3,238 वॉल्यूम
50%
86-87°F
$2,007 वॉल्यूम
26%
88-89°F
$2,186 वॉल्यूम
3%
90-91°F
$1,683 वॉल्यूम
<1%
92-93°F
$593 वॉल्यूम
<1%
94°F या अधिक
$643 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a peak temperature near Chicago’s August 4 climatological normal of 83.7 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest trading in the 84–85 °F bin, followed by the adjacent 82–83 °F and 86–87 °F ranges. No significant warm or cool air advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the long-term average and limiting the likelihood of extremes above 88 °F or below 82 °F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update for any shifts in the 850-hPa temperature or boundary-layer moisture fields that could alter the expected maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,416समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a peak temperature near Chicago’s August 4 climatological normal of 83.7 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest trading in the 84–85 °F bin, followed by the adjacent 82–83 °F and 86–87 °F ranges. No significant warm or cool air advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the long-term average and limiting the likelihood of extremes above 88 °F or below 82 °F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update for any shifts in the 850-hPa temperature or boundary-layer moisture fields that could alter the expected maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$17,416समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private services converge on a peak temperature near Chicago’s August 4 climatological normal of 83.7 °F, with mostly sunny skies and light winds supporting modest diurnal warming. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest trading in the 84–85 °F bin, followed by the adjacent 82–83 °F and 86–87 °F ranges. No significant warm or cool air advection is indicated in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the long-term average and limiting the likelihood of extremes above 88 °F or below 82 °F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update for any shifts in the 850-hPa temperature or boundary-layer moisture fields that could alter the expected maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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