Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month versus 0.2% forecasts, has lifted trader-implied odds for a matching 0.3% August core PCE print to 54.5%. Analysts at major banks have revised their core PCE forecasts upward to the 0.24–0.32% range after incorporating stronger shelter and services components from CPI alongside PCE-relevant PPI readings. July core PCE printed 0.2% m/m and 3.3% y/y, providing a baseline, while persistent services inflation and methodology shifts at the BEA add uncertainty around the exact monthly pace. The September 30 release will inform near-term Fed policy expectations ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया0.3% 55%
0.2% 38%
0.4% 1.7%
0.1% <1%
$11,656 वॉल्यूम
$11,656 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
≤-0.1%
1%
0.0%
<1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
38%
0.3%
55%
0.4%
2%
0.5%+
1%
0.3% 55%
0.2% 38%
0.4% 1.7%
0.1% <1%
$11,656 वॉल्यूम
$11,656 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
≤-0.1%
$603 वॉल्यूम
1%
0.0%
$646 वॉल्यूम
<1%
0.1%
$759 वॉल्यूम
1%
0.2%
$5,426 वॉल्यूम
38%
0.3%
$3,170 वॉल्यूम
55%
0.4%
$332 वॉल्यूम
2%
0.5%+
$719 वॉल्यूम
1%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month versus 0.2% forecasts, has lifted trader-implied odds for a matching 0.3% August core PCE print to 54.5%. Analysts at major banks have revised their core PCE forecasts upward to the 0.24–0.32% range after incorporating stronger shelter and services components from CPI alongside PCE-relevant PPI readings. July core PCE printed 0.2% m/m and 3.3% y/y, providing a baseline, while persistent services inflation and methodology shifts at the BEA add uncertainty around the exact monthly pace. The September 30 release will inform near-term Fed policy expectations ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 26, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,656समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 8:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month versus 0.2% forecasts, has lifted trader-implied odds for a matching 0.3% August core PCE print to 54.5%. Analysts at major banks have revised their core PCE forecasts upward to the 0.24–0.32% range after incorporating stronger shelter and services components from CPI alongside PCE-relevant PPI readings. July core PCE printed 0.2% m/m and 3.3% y/y, providing a baseline, while persistent services inflation and methodology shifts at the BEA add uncertainty around the exact monthly pace. The September 30 release will inform near-term Fed policy expectations ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.2%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
वॉल्यूम
$11,656समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 8:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI data, which rose 0.3% month-over-month versus 0.2% forecasts, has lifted trader-implied odds for a matching 0.3% August core PCE print to 54.5%. Analysts at major banks have revised their core PCE forecasts upward to the 0.24–0.32% range after incorporating stronger shelter and services components from CPI alongside PCE-relevant PPI readings. July core PCE printed 0.2% m/m and 3.3% y/y, providing a baseline, while persistent services inflation and methodology shifts at the BEA add uncertainty around the exact monthly pace. The September 30 release will inform near-term Fed policy expectations ahead of the next FOMC meeting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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