Recent August inflation data at 6.24%, exceeding consensus and marking a two-year high, has reinforced trader expectations for a cautious stance at the Banco de la República’s October meeting, with no change priced at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent price pressures from food, services, and regulated items, alongside elevated inflation expectations above 6% for year-end 2026, have sustained the restrictive 12% policy rate following the July hold and prior 75-basis-point hikes. This positions modest rate increases as the next most likely outcomes while downside risks remain limited amid a stronger peso and moderating growth. The September decision and upcoming data releases will serve as key catalysts shaping the October path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 51%
25 आधार अंकों की बढ़ोतरी 23%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की कमी 8%
50 या उससे अधिक बेसिस पॉइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी 6.0%
नया
नया
29 अक्टू, 2026
50 या उससे अधिक आधार अंकों की कटौती
3%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की कमी
8%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
51%
25 आधार अंकों की बढ़ोतरी
23%
50 या उससे अधिक बेसिस पॉइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी
14%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 51%
25 आधार अंकों की बढ़ोतरी 23%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की कमी 8%
50 या उससे अधिक बेसिस पॉइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी 6.0%
नया
नया
29 अक्टू, 2026
50 या उससे अधिक आधार अंकों की कटौती
$152 वॉल्यूम
3%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की कमी
$572 वॉल्यूम
8%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$1,195 वॉल्यूम
51%
25 आधार अंकों की बढ़ोतरी
$200 वॉल्यूम
23%
50 या उससे अधिक बेसिस पॉइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी
$40 वॉल्यूम
14%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Recent August inflation data at 6.24%, exceeding consensus and marking a two-year high, has reinforced trader expectations for a cautious stance at the Banco de la República’s October meeting, with no change priced at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent price pressures from food, services, and regulated items, alongside elevated inflation expectations above 6% for year-end 2026, have sustained the restrictive 12% policy rate following the July hold and prior 75-basis-point hikes. This positions modest rate increases as the next most likely outcomes while downside risks remain limited amid a stronger peso and moderating growth. The September decision and upcoming data releases will serve as key catalysts shaping the October path.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,159समाप्ति तिथि
30 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventosरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Recent August inflation data at 6.24%, exceeding consensus and marking a two-year high, has reinforced trader expectations for a cautious stance at the Banco de la República’s October meeting, with no change priced at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent price pressures from food, services, and regulated items, alongside elevated inflation expectations above 6% for year-end 2026, have sustained the restrictive 12% policy rate following the July hold and prior 75-basis-point hikes. This positions modest rate increases as the next most likely outcomes while downside risks remain limited amid a stronger peso and moderating growth. The September decision and upcoming data releases will serve as key catalysts shaping the October path.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the monetary policy interest rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Central Bank of Colombia (Banco de la Republica), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Central Bank of Colombia, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar (https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Central Bank of Colombia resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,159समाप्ति तिथि
30 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 11, 2026, 11:32 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventosरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent August inflation data at 6.24%, exceeding consensus and marking a two-year high, has reinforced trader expectations for a cautious stance at the Banco de la República’s October meeting, with no change priced at 50.5% implied probability. Persistent price pressures from food, services, and regulated items, alongside elevated inflation expectations above 6% for year-end 2026, have sustained the restrictive 12% policy rate following the July hold and prior 75-basis-point hikes. This positions modest rate increases as the next most likely outcomes while downside risks remain limited amid a stronger peso and moderating growth. The September decision and upcoming data releases will serve as key catalysts shaping the October path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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