US strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps military infrastructure on Abu Musa, including ports and missile sites, as part of efforts to limit threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping during the US-Iran conflict. These precision operations degraded capabilities but left Iranian administrative and military control intact. Iran has since reinforced positions with additional missile deployments, conducted drills, and advanced civilian settlement projects on the island it has held since 1971 despite UAE claims. The UAE and GCC continue pressing for bilateral talks or ICJ referral while aligning with broader diplomatic pressure, yet no ground operations or sovereignty shifts have materialized. Trader pricing reflects the high barriers to any near-term change in on-the-ground control amid ongoing hostilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअबू मूसा द्वीप अब ईरानी नियंत्रण में नहीं है...?
अबू मूसा द्वीप अब ईरानी नियंत्रण में नहीं है...?
$94,408 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर
2%
$94,408 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
$1,009 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps military infrastructure on Abu Musa, including ports and missile sites, as part of efforts to limit threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping during the US-Iran conflict. These precision operations degraded capabilities but left Iranian administrative and military control intact. Iran has since reinforced positions with additional missile deployments, conducted drills, and advanced civilian settlement projects on the island it has held since 1971 despite UAE claims. The UAE and GCC continue pressing for bilateral talks or ICJ referral while aligning with broader diplomatic pressure, yet no ground operations or sovereignty shifts have materialized. Trader pricing reflects the high barriers to any near-term change in on-the-ground control amid ongoing hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 26, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$94,408समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 11:05 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps military infrastructure on Abu Musa, including ports and missile sites, as part of efforts to limit threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping during the US-Iran conflict. These precision operations degraded capabilities but left Iranian administrative and military control intact. Iran has since reinforced positions with additional missile deployments, conducted drills, and advanced civilian settlement projects on the island it has held since 1971 despite UAE claims. The UAE and GCC continue pressing for bilateral talks or ICJ referral while aligning with broader diplomatic pressure, yet no ground operations or sovereignty shifts have materialized. Trader pricing reflects the high barriers to any near-term change in on-the-ground control amid ongoing hostilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Abu Musa Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Abu Musa Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Abu Musa Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$94,408समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 26, 2026, 11:05 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...US strikes in July 2026 targeted Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps military infrastructure on Abu Musa, including ports and missile sites, as part of efforts to limit threats to Strait of Hormuz shipping during the US-Iran conflict. These precision operations degraded capabilities but left Iranian administrative and military control intact. Iran has since reinforced positions with additional missile deployments, conducted drills, and advanced civilian settlement projects on the island it has held since 1971 despite UAE claims. The UAE and GCC continue pressing for bilateral talks or ICJ referral while aligning with broader diplomatic pressure, yet no ground operations or sovereignty shifts have materialized. Trader pricing reflects the high barriers to any near-term change in on-the-ground control amid ongoing hostilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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