Wyoming's entrenched Republican voter base and consistent electoral history continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate contest. The August 18 primaries produced a clear nominee in former U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman on the Republican side after incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek re-election, while Democrat James Byrd advanced with limited opposition and minimal statewide infrastructure. These outcomes, combined with the state's voting patterns in federal races, reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. A Republican win could only face realistic pressure from an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major candidate scandal, health crisis, or dramatic national political realignment capable of shifting turnout or crossover support in this low-population, solidly conservative electorate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$16,713 Vol.
$16,713 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
96%
Démocrate
2%
$16,713 Vol.
$16,713 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
$11,081 Vol.
96%
Démocrate
$5,632 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican voter base and consistent electoral history continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate contest. The August 18 primaries produced a clear nominee in former U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman on the Republican side after incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek re-election, while Democrat James Byrd advanced with limited opposition and minimal statewide infrastructure. These outcomes, combined with the state's voting patterns in federal races, reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. A Republican win could only face realistic pressure from an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major candidate scandal, health crisis, or dramatic national political realignment capable of shifting turnout or crossover support in this low-population, solidly conservative electorate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$16,713Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican voter base and consistent electoral history continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate contest. The August 18 primaries produced a clear nominee in former U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman on the Republican side after incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek re-election, while Democrat James Byrd advanced with limited opposition and minimal statewide infrastructure. These outcomes, combined with the state's voting patterns in federal races, reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. A Republican win could only face realistic pressure from an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major candidate scandal, health crisis, or dramatic national political realignment capable of shifting turnout or crossover support in this low-population, solidly conservative electorate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,713Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican voter base and consistent electoral history continue to anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate contest. The August 18 primaries produced a clear nominee in former U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman on the Republican side after incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted not to seek re-election, while Democrat James Byrd advanced with limited opposition and minimal statewide infrastructure. These outcomes, combined with the state's voting patterns in federal races, reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. A Republican win could only face realistic pressure from an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major candidate scandal, health crisis, or dramatic national political realignment capable of shifting turnout or crossover support in this low-population, solidly conservative electorate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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