Recent diplomatic exchanges between the United States and Iran have relied on intermediaries and Oman-mediated channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that produced a fragile ceasefire. Technical talks in Switzerland, Doha, and earlier venues addressed sanctions relief, nuclear inspections, and Strait of Hormuz shipping, yet implementation remains stalled over frozen assets and maritime access as the month-long pause nears expiration. President Trump has described ongoing messaging as a final opportunity for progress, while Iranian officials emphasize indirect contacts without confirming formal negotiations. Scheduled events through year-end, including potential follow-on rounds tied to the memorandum's 60-day framework extensions, could determine whether high-level attendance materializes before the December 31 cutoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$28,634 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Jared Kushner
70%
Steve Witkoff
73%
Abbas Araghchi
63%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
63%
J.D. Vance
55%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
37%
Kazem Gharibabadi
21%
Rafael Grossi
23%
Marco Rubio
23%
Nick Stewart
19%
Mohammed ben Abdulrahman Al Thani
17%
Ahmad Vahidi
16%
Badr ben Hamad Al Busaidi
16%
Ishaq Dar
14%
Donald Trump
12%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
44%
$28,634 Vol.
Jared Kushner
$230 Vol.
70%
Steve Witkoff
$427 Vol.
73%
Abbas Araghchi
$411 Vol.
63%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$80 Vol.
63%
J.D. Vance
$584 Vol.
55%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$20 Vol.
37%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$885 Vol.
21%
Rafael Grossi
$44 Vol.
23%
Marco Rubio
$40 Vol.
23%
Nick Stewart
$100 Vol.
19%
Mohammed ben Abdulrahman Al Thani
$998 Vol.
17%
Ahmad Vahidi
$25 Vol.
16%
Badr ben Hamad Al Busaidi
$939 Vol.
16%
Ishaq Dar
$932 Vol.
14%
Donald Trump
$59 Vol.
12%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 Vol.
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,111 Vol.
5%
Esmail Qaani
$1,231 Vol.
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$40 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic exchanges between the United States and Iran have relied on intermediaries and Oman-mediated channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that produced a fragile ceasefire. Technical talks in Switzerland, Doha, and earlier venues addressed sanctions relief, nuclear inspections, and Strait of Hormuz shipping, yet implementation remains stalled over frozen assets and maritime access as the month-long pause nears expiration. President Trump has described ongoing messaging as a final opportunity for progress, while Iranian officials emphasize indirect contacts without confirming formal negotiations. Scheduled events through year-end, including potential follow-on rounds tied to the memorandum's 60-day framework extensions, could determine whether high-level attendance materializes before the December 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$28,634Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic exchanges between the United States and Iran have relied on intermediaries and Oman-mediated channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that produced a fragile ceasefire. Technical talks in Switzerland, Doha, and earlier venues addressed sanctions relief, nuclear inspections, and Strait of Hormuz shipping, yet implementation remains stalled over frozen assets and maritime access as the month-long pause nears expiration. President Trump has described ongoing messaging as a final opportunity for progress, while Iranian officials emphasize indirect contacts without confirming formal negotiations. Scheduled events through year-end, including potential follow-on rounds tied to the memorandum's 60-day framework extensions, could determine whether high-level attendance materializes before the December 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$28,634Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic exchanges between the United States and Iran have relied on intermediaries and Oman-mediated channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that produced a fragile ceasefire. Technical talks in Switzerland, Doha, and earlier venues addressed sanctions relief, nuclear inspections, and Strait of Hormuz shipping, yet implementation remains stalled over frozen assets and maritime access as the month-long pause nears expiration. President Trump has described ongoing messaging as a final opportunity for progress, while Iranian officials emphasize indirect contacts without confirming formal negotiations. Scheduled events through year-end, including potential follow-on rounds tied to the memorandum's 60-day framework extensions, could determine whether high-level attendance materializes before the December 31 cutoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Nick Stewart participera-t-il à une réunion diplomatique États-Unis x Iran d'ici le 31 août 2026 ?
47%
Oui
Aucune rencontre diplomatique qualifiée entre les États-Unis et l'Iran n'aura-t-elle lieu d'ici le 30 septembre 2026 ?
70%
Oui
Réunion diplomatique États-Unis x Iran d'ici le 30 septembre 2026 ?
31%
Oui
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