Ongoing effects from the 2026 Iran-US conflict, including infrastructure damage, capital flight, and a projected 5-10% GDP contraction, continue to pressure the rial amid high inflation and dual exchange rates. A fragile July ceasefire and limited sanctions relief keep outcomes uncertain, with free-market rates hovering near 1.9 million IRR per USD. Trader consensus clusters around 2.0-2.1 million as the leading range due to persistent volatility and weak foreign reserves, while nearby bands like 1.8-1.9 million reflect hopes for stabilization. Developments such as verified oil export increases, nuclear negotiation progress, or renewed tensions could widen spreads by shifting supply-demand dynamics in the coming weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,0-2,1 M 53%
2,1-2,2M 28%
1,9-2,0 M 23%
1,7-1,8 M 14%
<1,7 M
13%
1,7-1,8 M
14%
1,8-1,9 M
46%
1,9-2,0 M
23%
2,0-2,1 M
53%
2,1-2,2M
36%
2,2M+
14%
2,0-2,1 M 53%
2,1-2,2M 28%
1,9-2,0 M 23%
1,7-1,8 M 14%
<1,7 M
13%
1,7-1,8 M
14%
1,8-1,9 M
46%
1,9-2,0 M
23%
2,0-2,1 M
53%
2,1-2,2M
36%
2,2M+
14%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing effects from the 2026 Iran-US conflict, including infrastructure damage, capital flight, and a projected 5-10% GDP contraction, continue to pressure the rial amid high inflation and dual exchange rates. A fragile July ceasefire and limited sanctions relief keep outcomes uncertain, with free-market rates hovering near 1.9 million IRR per USD. Trader consensus clusters around 2.0-2.1 million as the leading range due to persistent volatility and weak foreign reserves, while nearby bands like 1.8-1.9 million reflect hopes for stabilization. Developments such as verified oil export increases, nuclear negotiation progress, or renewed tensions could widen spreads by shifting supply-demand dynamics in the coming weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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