Massachusetts's 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Katherine Clark, the House Democratic whip first elected in a 2013 special election, faces only nominal primary opposition from two lesser-known challengers ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive Republican candidate positioned to contest the November general election. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 96.6% incorporates the district's electoral math, low turnout volatility in off-year races, and historical precedent for Massachusetts House seats. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given structural barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$37,194 Vol.
$37,194 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
3%
$37,194 Vol.
$37,194 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$26,685 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$10,509 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Katherine Clark, the House Democratic whip first elected in a 2013 special election, faces only nominal primary opposition from two lesser-known challengers ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive Republican candidate positioned to contest the November general election. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 96.6% incorporates the district's electoral math, low turnout volatility in off-year races, and historical precedent for Massachusetts House seats. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given structural barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$37,194Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Katherine Clark, the House Democratic whip first elected in a 2013 special election, faces only nominal primary opposition from two lesser-known challengers ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive Republican candidate positioned to contest the November general election. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 96.6% incorporates the district's electoral math, low turnout volatility in off-year races, and historical precedent for Massachusetts House seats. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given structural barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,194Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Katherine Clark, the House Democratic whip first elected in a 2013 special election, faces only nominal primary opposition from two lesser-known challengers ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive Republican candidate positioned to contest the November general election. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 96.6% incorporates the district's electoral math, low turnout volatility in off-year races, and historical precedent for Massachusetts House seats. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given structural barriers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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