Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
Ra'am
79%
RZP-Zehut
76%
Amcha Yisrael
48%
Réservistes et Nouveau Parti Économique
47%
Bleu et Blanc
36%
$15 Vol.
Ra'am
$0 Vol.
79%
RZP-Zehut
$0 Vol.
76%
Amcha Yisrael
$0 Vol.
48%
Réservistes et Nouveau Parti Économique
$0 Vol.
47%
Bleu et Blanc
$15 Vol.
36%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$15Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$15Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 5:30 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent polls following the September 8 deadline for Knesset candidate list submissions indicate a fragmented electoral map ahead of the October 27 vote, with neither the pro-Netanyahu nor anti-Netanyahu bloc projected to reach the 61 seats needed for a majority on its own. Likud, Yashar led by Gadi Eisenkot, and B'Yachad led by Naftali Bennett lead seat projections in most surveys, while smaller parties including the Reservists-Economic slate, Religious Zionism-Zehut, and various Arab lists hover near or above the electoral threshold. Party mergers, such as Religious Zionism with Zehut, and fluctuating support for Otzma Yehudit and Shas shape bloc arithmetic. The outcome hinges on turnout among swing voters and whether centrist or Arab parties cross the threshold to influence coalition viability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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