Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range across major surveys from firms such as Midgam, Kantar, and Lazar, reflecting erosion from its 32 seats in 2022. Persistent voter concerns over the Gaza war's conduct, judicial overhaul fallout, and Haredi draft exemptions have capped the party's support, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party runs neck-and-neck or slightly ahead in several averages. Likud's August 17 primaries, marked by low turnout and internal list battles, underscored these pressures. The market's near-even split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands captures this volatility, with further movement likely tied to security developments, coalition negotiations involving religious and Arab parties, and final turnout among right-leaning voters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour20-24 33%
25-29 33%
<20 18.0%
30-34 18%
$102,095 Vol.
$102,095 Vol.
27 oct. 2026
<20
18%
20-24
33%
25-29
33%
30-34
18%
35+
5%
20-24 33%
25-29 33%
<20 18.0%
30-34 18%
$102,095 Vol.
$102,095 Vol.
27 oct. 2026
<20
$33,123 Vol.
18%
20-24
$15,595 Vol.
33%
25-29
$24,508 Vol.
33%
30-34
$19,621 Vol.
18%
35+
$9,249 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range across major surveys from firms such as Midgam, Kantar, and Lazar, reflecting erosion from its 32 seats in 2022. Persistent voter concerns over the Gaza war's conduct, judicial overhaul fallout, and Haredi draft exemptions have capped the party's support, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party runs neck-and-neck or slightly ahead in several averages. Likud's August 17 primaries, marked by low turnout and internal list battles, underscored these pressures. The market's near-even split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands captures this volatility, with further movement likely tied to security developments, coalition negotiations involving religious and Arab parties, and final turnout among right-leaning voters.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$102,095Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range across major surveys from firms such as Midgam, Kantar, and Lazar, reflecting erosion from its 32 seats in 2022. Persistent voter concerns over the Gaza war's conduct, judicial overhaul fallout, and Haredi draft exemptions have capped the party's support, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party runs neck-and-neck or slightly ahead in several averages. Likud's August 17 primaries, marked by low turnout and internal list battles, underscored these pressures. The market's near-even split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands captures this volatility, with further movement likely tied to security developments, coalition negotiations involving religious and Arab parties, and final turnout among right-leaning voters.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$102,095Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–24 seat range across major surveys from firms such as Midgam, Kantar, and Lazar, reflecting erosion from its 32 seats in 2022. Persistent voter concerns over the Gaza war's conduct, judicial overhaul fallout, and Haredi draft exemptions have capped the party's support, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party runs neck-and-neck or slightly ahead in several averages. Likud's August 17 primaries, marked by low turnout and internal list battles, underscored these pressures. The market's near-even split between the 20–24 and 25–29 bands captures this volatility, with further movement likely tied to security developments, coalition negotiations involving religious and Arab parties, and final turnout among right-leaning voters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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