Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and her strong primary performance. The district covers The Thumb region and northern Detroit suburbs, areas that have delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. McClain’s substantial fundraising advantage and unopposed primary further reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold, while Democratic nominee Ray Pooley entered the race with minimal resources. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMI-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MI-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$33,708 Vol.
$33,708 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
6%
$33,708 Vol.
$33,708 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$27,141 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$6,567 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and her strong primary performance. The district covers The Thumb region and northern Detroit suburbs, areas that have delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. McClain’s substantial fundraising advantage and unopposed primary further reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold, while Democratic nominee Ray Pooley entered the race with minimal resources. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$33,708Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and her strong primary performance. The district covers The Thumb region and northern Detroit suburbs, areas that have delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. McClain’s substantial fundraising advantage and unopposed primary further reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold, while Democratic nominee Ray Pooley entered the race with minimal resources. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,708Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and her strong primary performance. The district covers The Thumb region and northern Detroit suburbs, areas that have delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. McClain’s substantial fundraising advantage and unopposed primary further reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold, while Democratic nominee Ray Pooley entered the race with minimal resources. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. A significant late development such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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