Latest numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 26 likely between 8–12 °C, driven by persistent northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and potential light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Coastal exposure and the city’s topography create localized differences in sheltering, while recent August conditions have featured above-average daytime highs near 14–15 °C followed by sharper drops under clearer skies. Ensemble spreads in global and regional forecasts reflect this uncertainty, with trader consensus clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting the narrow range of probable overnight lows from official guidance. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 26th will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wellington le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Wellington le 26 août ?
12°C 36%
11°C 28%
13°C 27%
14°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
8°C ou moins
1%
9°C
16%
10°C
13%
11°C
28%
12°C
36%
13°C
27%
14°C
25%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C ou plus
2%
12°C 36%
11°C 28%
13°C 27%
14°C 25%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
8°C ou moins
$15 Vol.
1%
9°C
$55 Vol.
16%
10°C
$10 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$85 Vol.
5%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$15 Vol.
7%
18°C ou plus
$145 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 26 likely between 8–12 °C, driven by persistent northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and potential light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Coastal exposure and the city’s topography create localized differences in sheltering, while recent August conditions have featured above-average daytime highs near 14–15 °C followed by sharper drops under clearer skies. Ensemble spreads in global and regional forecasts reflect this uncertainty, with trader consensus clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting the narrow range of probable overnight lows from official guidance. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 26th will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$330Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 26 likely between 8–12 °C, driven by persistent northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and potential light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Coastal exposure and the city’s topography create localized differences in sheltering, while recent August conditions have featured above-average daytime highs near 14–15 °C followed by sharper drops under clearer skies. Ensemble spreads in global and regional forecasts reflect this uncertainty, with trader consensus clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting the narrow range of probable overnight lows from official guidance. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 26th will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$330Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature in Wellington on August 26 likely between 8–12 °C, driven by persistent northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and potential light rain that limit radiative cooling overnight. Coastal exposure and the city’s topography create localized differences in sheltering, while recent August conditions have featured above-average daytime highs near 14–15 °C followed by sharper drops under clearer skies. Ensemble spreads in global and regional forecasts reflect this uncertainty, with trader consensus clustering around 11–13 °C reflecting the narrow range of probable overnight lows from official guidance. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 26th will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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