Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's August 26 overnight low will likely settle near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies with a modest chance of light showers and light southerly winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, while the urban heat island effect from concrete and residual heat maintains elevated minimums typical of late-summer Tokyo. Recent model runs show only small spreads in predicted cloud cover and wind speed, explaining the near-tie between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes; any increase in overnight cloud thickness or delayed land breeze could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble outputs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tokyo le 26 août ?
La température la plus basse à Tokyo le 26 août ?
27°C 42%
28°C 42%
29°C 22%
30°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
22°C or below
14%
23°C
14%
24°C
20%
25°C
9%
26°C
14%
27°C
42%
28°C
42%
29°C
22%
30°C
21%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
16%
27°C 42%
28°C 42%
29°C 22%
30°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 août 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
14%
23°C
$5 Vol.
14%
24°C
$5 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
42%
28°C
$0 Vol.
42%
29°C
$5 Vol.
22%
30°C
$5 Vol.
21%
31°C
$5 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's August 26 overnight low will likely settle near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies with a modest chance of light showers and light southerly winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, while the urban heat island effect from concrete and residual heat maintains elevated minimums typical of late-summer Tokyo. Recent model runs show only small spreads in predicted cloud cover and wind speed, explaining the near-tie between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes; any increase in overnight cloud thickness or delayed land breeze could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble outputs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$25Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's August 26 overnight low will likely settle near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies with a modest chance of light showers and light southerly winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, while the urban heat island effect from concrete and residual heat maintains elevated minimums typical of late-summer Tokyo. Recent model runs show only small spreads in predicted cloud cover and wind speed, explaining the near-tie between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes; any increase in overnight cloud thickness or delayed land breeze could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble outputs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Date de fin
26 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's August 26 overnight low will likely settle near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies with a modest chance of light showers and light southerly winds. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, while the urban heat island effect from concrete and residual heat maintains elevated minimums typical of late-summer Tokyo. Recent model runs show only small spreads in predicted cloud cover and wind speed, explaining the near-tie between the 27°C and 28°C outcomes; any increase in overnight cloud thickness or delayed land breeze could nudge readings slightly higher. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble outputs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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