Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low in Tel Aviv on September 5, with 92% implied probability, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from models such as GFS showing overnight minima near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light westerly winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Recent observations indicate temperatures holding in the mid-20s Celsius through the early morning hours, consistent with climatological norms for the date and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This positioning aligns with verified model consensus rather than speculative shifts. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted increases in humidity or localized wind changes that enhance cooling, potentially dropping readings toward 24°C or lower, though current data releases show no such divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 5 septembre ?
25°C 98%
21°C 4.0%
24°C 3%
20°C ou moins <1%
$1,090 Vol.
$1,090 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
92%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 98%
21°C 4.0%
24°C 3%
20°C ou moins <1%
$1,090 Vol.
$1,090 Vol.
5 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$67 Vol.
1%
21°C
$103 Vol.
4%
22°C
$170 Vol.
1%
23°C
$164 Vol.
1%
24°C
$102 Vol.
3%
25°C
$374 Vol.
92%
26°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low in Tel Aviv on September 5, with 92% implied probability, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from models such as GFS showing overnight minima near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light westerly winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Recent observations indicate temperatures holding in the mid-20s Celsius through the early morning hours, consistent with climatological norms for the date and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This positioning aligns with verified model consensus rather than speculative shifts. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted increases in humidity or localized wind changes that enhance cooling, potentially dropping readings toward 24°C or lower, though current data releases show no such divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,090Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low in Tel Aviv on September 5, with 92% implied probability, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from models such as GFS showing overnight minima near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light westerly winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Recent observations indicate temperatures holding in the mid-20s Celsius through the early morning hours, consistent with climatological norms for the date and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This positioning aligns with verified model consensus rather than speculative shifts. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted increases in humidity or localized wind changes that enhance cooling, potentially dropping readings toward 24°C or lower, though current data releases show no such divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,090Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low in Tel Aviv on September 5, with 92% implied probability, reflecting consistent forecast guidance from models such as GFS showing overnight minima near that threshold under stable high-pressure conditions and light westerly winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Recent observations indicate temperatures holding in the mid-20s Celsius through the early morning hours, consistent with climatological norms for the date and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This positioning aligns with verified model consensus rather than speculative shifts. A realistic challenge could arise from unforecasted increases in humidity or localized wind changes that enhance cooling, potentially dropping readings toward 24°C or lower, though current data releases show no such divergence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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