**Recent official forecasts and real-time observations position the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5, 2026, most likely between 26–27°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and local Chinese weather services, project an overnight low of 26°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, with some models indicating 27°C. Early-morning hourly readings on the day have hovered around 25–27°C, consistent with these projections. Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate features persistently high humidity (often 70–90%) and frequent cloud cover or light rain in early September, which limits radiative cooling overnight and keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier climates. September climatological averages place typical lows near 25–26°C, and current model consensus shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings notably lower. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 27°C (66%) and 26°C (34.5%), reflecting alignment with the latest forecast consensus and the low likelihood of significant deviation. Lower outcomes (25°C or below) carry much smaller implied odds, as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current data or historical patterns for the date. Higher temperatures are discounted due to expected overnight stabilization near the dew point. Updated model runs or final observational data from Shenzhen stations will determine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 5 septembre ?
24°C 10%
22°C 9%
23°C 9%
21°C ou moins 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
9%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C
35%
27°C
66%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 10%
22°C 9%
23°C 9%
21°C ou moins 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$22 Vol.
2%
22°C
$12 Vol.
9%
23°C
$12 Vol.
9%
24°C
$152 Vol.
10%
25°C
$116 Vol.
1%
26°C
$100 Vol.
35%
27°C
$232 Vol.
66%
28°C
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,101 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$591 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and real-time observations position the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5, 2026, most likely between 26–27°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and local Chinese weather services, project an overnight low of 26°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, with some models indicating 27°C. Early-morning hourly readings on the day have hovered around 25–27°C, consistent with these projections.
Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate features persistently high humidity (often 70–90%) and frequent cloud cover or light rain in early September, which limits radiative cooling overnight and keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier climates. September climatological averages place typical lows near 25–26°C, and current model consensus shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings notably lower.
Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 27°C (66%) and 26°C (34.5%), reflecting alignment with the latest forecast consensus and the low likelihood of significant deviation. Lower outcomes (25°C or below) carry much smaller implied odds, as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current data or historical patterns for the date. Higher temperatures are discounted due to expected overnight stabilization near the dew point. Updated model runs or final observational data from Shenzhen stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,508Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and real-time observations position the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5, 2026, most likely between 26–27°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and local Chinese weather services, project an overnight low of 26°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, with some models indicating 27°C. Early-morning hourly readings on the day have hovered around 25–27°C, consistent with these projections.
Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate features persistently high humidity (often 70–90%) and frequent cloud cover or light rain in early September, which limits radiative cooling overnight and keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier climates. September climatological averages place typical lows near 25–26°C, and current model consensus shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings notably lower.
Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 27°C (66%) and 26°C (34.5%), reflecting alignment with the latest forecast consensus and the low likelihood of significant deviation. Lower outcomes (25°C or below) carry much smaller implied odds, as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current data or historical patterns for the date. Higher temperatures are discounted due to expected overnight stabilization near the dew point. Updated model runs or final observational data from Shenzhen stations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,508Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts and real-time observations position the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 5, 2026, most likely between 26–27°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and local Chinese weather services, project an overnight low of 26°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, with some models indicating 27°C. Early-morning hourly readings on the day have hovered around 25–27°C, consistent with these projections. Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate features persistently high humidity (often 70–90%) and frequent cloud cover or light rain in early September, which limits radiative cooling overnight and keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier climates. September climatological averages place typical lows near 25–26°C, and current model consensus shows no strong cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling event to push readings notably lower. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 27°C (66%) and 26°C (34.5%), reflecting alignment with the latest forecast consensus and the low likelihood of significant deviation. Lower outcomes (25°C or below) carry much smaller implied odds, as they would require atypical cooling not supported by current data or historical patterns for the date. Higher temperatures are discounted due to expected overnight stabilization near the dew point. Updated model runs or final observational data from Shenzhen stations will determine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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