**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 20°C low at Incheon International Airport on September 5, 2026, with 99.2% implied probability.** This positioning stems from consistent short-range forecasts and current observations showing daytime highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions, with overnight radiative cooling and northeast winds of 8–10 kt expected to bring the minimum to approximately 20°C. Official guidance from sources such as the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models aligns on this threshold, reflecting typical early-September climatology for the region where daily minima often stabilize in the 18–21°C range absent major synoptic changes. The narrow uncertainty band leaves limited room for deviation; only an unanticipated surge in cloud cover, a shift to calmer winds, or a late-model revision could realistically push the official minimum to 19°C or lower, though current data make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 5 septembre ?
20°C 99.2%
19°C <1%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
$11,213 Vol.
$11,213 Vol.
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 99.2%
19°C <1%
13°C ou moins <1%
14°C <1%
$11,213 Vol.
$11,213 Vol.
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 20°C low at Incheon International Airport on September 5, 2026, with 99.2% implied probability.** This positioning stems from consistent short-range forecasts and current observations showing daytime highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions, with overnight radiative cooling and northeast winds of 8–10 kt expected to bring the minimum to approximately 20°C. Official guidance from sources such as the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models aligns on this threshold, reflecting typical early-September climatology for the region where daily minima often stabilize in the 18–21°C range absent major synoptic changes. The narrow uncertainty band leaves limited room for deviation; only an unanticipated surge in cloud cover, a shift to calmer winds, or a late-model revision could realistically push the official minimum to 19°C or lower, though current data make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes